Elina Nepliy vs Daria Shadchneva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Regarding second serve performance over the last six months, Shadchneva leads slightly with a 39.17% win rate compared to Nepliy’s 37.56%.
• Who has the edge in returning their opponent's second serves? Nepliy, slightly, with a win rate of 50.25% against Shadchneva's 49.8%.
• In terms of first serve return success, Nepliy demonstrates a stronger performance at 37.77% compared to Shadchneva's 34.78%.
• When it comes to saving breakpoints, Shadchneva has the upper hand with a success rate of 47.62%, edging out Nepliy who has saved 43.4%.
• Considering the overall match performance over the past year, Nepliy holds a slight edge, winning 63.08% of matches compared to Shadchneva's 61.54%.
• On clay surfaces, Shadchneva excels with a 73% win rate, while this is Nepliy's weakest surface at 47%.
• Conversely, Nepliy performs best on indoor hard courts with a 62% win rate, a surface where Shadchneva struggles, achieving only 43%.
• Both players have similar levels of tournament participation, but Nepliy shows a slight edge with a 66.67% win rate in $10K ITF events against Shadchneva’s 64.86%.
• What about the quality of opponents faced? Shadchneva's average opponent ranking is 349.41, tougher than Nepliy’s at 400.98.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Nepliy is likely superior, having won 53% of such sets compared to Shadchneva's 25%.
• In recent form, Nepliy has converted breakpoint opportunities more effectively, with a conversion rate of 40.37% versus Shadchneva's 36.59%.

Editorial Prediction (May 21, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the second serve performance, Shadchneva has a slight edge, which could be crucial in maintaining a consistent game pace. However, Nepliy's superior returning ability, particularly on first serves, provides a compensating advantage, potentially disrupting Shadchneva's serve rhythm.

Bearing in mind the players' ability to handle breakpoints, Shadchneva shows resilience with a higher breakpoint saving percentage, but Nepliy trumps in converting opportunities, granting leverage in critical game moments.

While both players perform well at ITF levels, Nepliy’s marginally higher win percentage suggests a slight edge in competitive consistency. However, the quality of opponents faced by Shadchneva is notably higher, which may prime them for tougher match conditions.

Nepliy's stronger performance in deciding sets might be decisive if the match is closely contested. Considering surface preferences, the surface could significantly dictate game dynamics, given Shadchneva’s clear advantage on clay versus Nepliy's strength on indoor hard courts. If the match is on a hard court, it tilts slightly towards Nepliy.

In light of these statistical insights and performance trends, Nepliy is marginally favored to win this upcoming match, especially if it occurs on a hard surface and goes to a deciding set.