Elise Mertens vs Varvara Gracheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analysing the recent form and performance metrics of Elise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva presents intriguing insights into their potential head-to-head outcome. In the past six months, Mertens has secured 40.26% of points on her second serve, marginally trailing Gracheva who holds a slightly better figure at 41.23%. This statistic often highly correlates with match prediction accuracy.

On the return side, Elise Mertens has been highly effective, winning 49.75% of her opponent's second-serve points in recent form. In contrast, Gracheva stands at 49.28%. Furthermore, for first serve returns, Gracheva leads with a commendable 33.87%, while Mertens registers 26.36%. Such differential statistics in return games are pivotal for forecasting who gains the upper hand in direct H2H matchups.

When under pressure, particularly in crucial breakpoint situations, Mertens appears more resilient, saving 50.21% of breakpoints compared to Gracheva's 45.69%. Conversely, when converting breakpoints, Mertens achieves a rate of 34.11%, whereas Gracheva excels with a 41.56% conversion rate.

Examining the previous year, Mertens has a superior match-winning record with a win rate of 58.18%, compared to Gracheva's 50.94%. Importantly, Mertens thrives on hard courts with a career win percentage of 66% on the surface, whereas Gracheva's highest success comes on clay, with the same win percentage of 66%. However, both players exhibit weaker performances on grass, with Gracheva particularly struggling with a win rate of only 36%.

Mertens and Gracheva have clashed twice before, with Mertens victorious on both occasions, including a recent encounter at the Credit One Charleston Open, where Mertens triumphed 6-4, 3-6, 6-2. On the main tour over the last year, Mertens has won 64% of her matches, contrasting with Gracheva’s 35.29% win rate, reflecting their relative positions on the competitive ladder.

Considering their direct head-to-head record, Mertens has an unbeaten record in deciding sets against Gracheva, highlighting her edge in high-stakes scenarios. Over the past year, Mertens has competed against higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 64.49, in stark contrast to the average rank of 131.49 for Gracheva’s opponents.

This detailed analysis of recent performance indicators and head-to-head statistics suggests Mertens is favored to secure the victory in the upcoming match against Gracheva. Such data-driven insights are critical for accurately predicting match outcomes, with strong implications for bettor predictions as the match progresses.