Federico Bondioli vs Andrey Chepelev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Federico Bondioli has won 44.44% of points on his second serve compared to Andrey Chepelev's 40.06%. This stat is crucial for predicting match outcomes.
• Return Game: When returning opponents' second serves, Andrey Chepelev slightly trumps Federico Bondioli with 46.90% compared to 45.35%, and is also more effective on first serve returns with 30.52% to Bondioli's 27.15%.
• Pressure Handling: Federico Bondioli has a marginal advantage in saving breakpoints at 53.32%, while Chepelev saves 51.45%, which could be key in critical match moments.
• Overall Performance: Throughout the last year, Andrey Chepelev has a marginally higher match win percentage of 61.96% compared to Bondioli's 58.75%.
• Surface Preferences: Bondioli is strongest on grass with a 75% win rate. Chepelev also excels on clay with a 75% win rate, but struggles on indoor hard courts with a 29% win rate.
• Tournament Level: Both players have been active primarily in Futures/ITF events, with Bondioli winning 64.58% and Chepelev 61.96% of matches on this circuit.
• Opponent Quality: Bondioli has faced stronger competition with an average opponent rank of 369.76, while Chepelev's opponents averaged a rank of 480.71.
• Deciding Set Performance: In deciding sets over the past year, Chepelev leads with 57% wins versus Bondioli's 56%, suggesting a slight edge in critical match closings.

Editorial Prediction (October 13, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Federico Bondioli and Andrey Chepelev presents an interesting competitive scenario. Bondioli shows a slight advantage in second serve performance, which is a vital component in securing points under pressure situations.

Chepelev, however, has the upper hand in return games, particularly in first serve returns which often determine the flow and momentum of matches. It's this return proficiency that often tilts games in his favor despite Bondioli's stronger opponent pool and breakpoint resilience.

The contest also highlights the players' ability to perform under critical match tie breaks. With Chepelev's higher win rate in deciding sets, he tends to maintain composure and deliver when the stakes are elevated.

Taking all these factors into account, Andrey Chepelev, with marginally better overall form and return game statistics, appears to be the slight favorite to win this encounter.