Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Felix Auger Aliassime has been slightly less effective on his second serve, winning 47.89% of points, compared to Alejandro Tabilo's 48.40%. Is this small difference significant? Likely not decisive, but worth noting.
• When it comes to return games, Felix outperforms Alejandro marginally against opponents' second serves, winning 45.50% vs. 45.20% of points. A small edge for Felix.
• Analyzing first serve returns, Alejandro improves his numbers with 24.80% return wins, compared to Felix's 22.68%. This could influence service games.
• Under pressure, both players are almost equal at saving breakpoints, with Felix slightly ahead at 57.50% against Alejandro’s 57.14%. This could hint at similar resilience in tense moments.
• Looking at overall performance, Felix has a higher match win rate over the past year at 62.07% compared to Alejandro’s 55.10%, showing consistent success at the tour level.
• On indoor hard courts, Felix excels with a 69% win rate, while Alejandro favors clay courts, winning at the same rate. Could surface preference be a factor here?
• Felix has demonstrated stronger results on the Main tour, winning 69.44% of matches in contrast to Alejandro's 50%, indicating a higher level of competitive experience.
• In their only head-to-head match, Felix defeated Alejandro comprehensively, winning both sets 6-3, suggesting a psychological advantage.
• Felix's opponents have had an average rank of 60.86, while Alejandro has faced players ranked 146.16, indicating Felix's experience against tougher competition.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Felix has the edge, winning 63% of such sets compared to Alejandro’s 48%.

Editorial Prediction (October 4, 2025, UTC):

The statistical analysis presents a compelling case for Felix Auger Aliassime ahead of his matchup against Alejandro Tabilo. Despite marginal differences in second serve performance, Felix's slightly superior return game stats could provide the necessary edge.

Felix has demonstrated resilience under breakpoint pressure and has a favorable experience at the Main tour level. His strong track record on indoor hard courts aligns with his strengths, potentially foreshadowing an advantage on the current surface.

The head-to-head record is also in Felix's favor, with a convincing win in their previous encounter suggesting confidence and mental readiness. Furthermore, Felix's superior performance against higher-ranked opponents showcases his ability to handle formidable challenges.

Factoring in their deciding set success rates, Felix appears more likely to clinch narrow matches. Consequently, Felix Auger Aliassime is the predicted winner for the upcoming tennis match against Alejandro Tabilo.