Francesca Pace vs Lea Ma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Lea Ma has shown superior second serve performance, winning 42.07% of points compared to Francesca Pace's 38.49%. Could this be a significant indicator of the likely winner? Historically, yes, it often predicts match outcomes.
• On return games, Lea Ma has recently been more effective against opponents' second serves, winning 51% of points, marginally beating Francesca Pace's 49.42%. However, Francesca Pace has the advantage on first serve returns, with 35.76% compared to Lea Ma's 31.86%.
• When under pressure, both players perform similarly; Francesca Pace has a slight edge in saving breakpoints at 48.67% compared to Lea Ma's 47.54%.
• Looking at the past year's performance, both players boast nearly identical win percentages, with Lea Ma at 62.90% and Francesca Pace at 62.96%. Does this suggest an evenly matched competition? From these statistics, indeed it does.
• Lea Ma tends to excel on hard courts, winning 65% of her career matches, while Francesca Pace is more successful on clay, also with a 65% win rate.
• Both players have predominantly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Lea Ma achieving a 63.93% win rate and Francesca Pace 63.89% in the past year.
• The average rank of Lea Ma's opponents over the last year is slightly higher at 419.18, whereas Francesca Pace has faced opponents with an average rank of 408.7.
• In deciding set scenarios, Francesca Pace has a superior victory rate of 60% compared to Lea Ma's 53% over the last year, suggesting a mental edge in crucial moments.
• Event-specific performance can influence results; assessing how each player has been performing in the current event may provide additional insights.

Editorial Prediction (October 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Lea Ma and Francesca Pace seems to be one of well-matched contenders, each boasting strengths that could sway the outcome their way. Lea Ma’s stronger recent form on second serve points hints at a potential edge, particularly if she can utilize this aspect effectively throughout the match.

However, Francesca Pace’s higher proficiency in first serve returns and ability to perform under pressure by saving breakpoints more consistently might counterbalance Lea’s advantages. Furthermore, her superior deciding set performance suggests that in closely contested matches, Pace could have the upper hand.

In conclusion, while both players present strong cases, Francesca Pace’s demonstrated resilience in pressure situations and deciding sets seems to indicate she holds a slight advantage, making her the more likely winner of this encounter.