Francesca Pace vs Merna Refaat Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Francesca Pace has won 39.74% of her second serve points in the last 6 months, slightly outperforming Merna Refaat, who achieved 37.90%.
• Return Game Strength: Although Francesca isn’t far behind, Merna currently excels in both second and first serve returns, securing 50.92% and 37.86% of points, respectively, compared to Francesca's 49.02% and 34.87%. Could this indicate an advantage in breaking serves during matches?
• Resilience Under Pressure: Francesca Pace has a slight edge in saving breakpoints at 50.88%, marginally higher than Merna Refaat's 49.26%.
• Overall Match Wins: Merna leads with 69.70% wins over the past year compared to Francesca’s 63.64%, suggesting a stronger recent form.
• Surface Preferences: Both players have a 55% win rate on their favored surfaces, with Francesca proficient on hard courts and Merna on indoor hard courts, but Merna performs notably lower on clay.
• Tournament Levels: Francesca has competed more frequently at the >$10K level but Merna boasts a higher win percentage at 74.07% compared to Francesca's 65.85%.
• Opponent Quality: Francesca has faced tougher opponents with an average rank of 418.62, compared to Merna's 543.88, which might provide Francesca an edge in experience.
• Deciding Set Performance: Francesca tends to gain an advantage in deciding sets, winning 65% of such matches over the past year, versus Merna's 60%. Could this be critical if the match progresses to a deciding set?

Editorial Prediction (October 24, 2025, UTC):

Francesca Pace exhibits a slight edge on second serve points, which are crucial in maintaining her service games. Although Merna Refaat shows a strong return game advantage, especially on first serves, it may not be substantial enough to compensate for other factors.

Merna's superior overall win percentage reflects her recent form, indicating consistency; however, Francesca's experience against higher-ranked opponents could bridge the competitive gap in higher-pressure scenarios.

While Francesca displays resilience in breakpoints and deciding sets, which could be decisive in a tight match, Merna's return game strengths cannot be overlooked.

Considering these factors, Francesca Pace is slightly favored to win this upcoming match, owing to her more robust experience and under-pressure performance.