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Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Dimitrov vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!
Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Dimitrov has won 54.53% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 56.97%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Dimitrov, in recent form, has won 50.38% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 56.41%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.18% and 35.3% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Dimitrov has saved 67.61% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 59.3% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Dimitrov has won 72.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 20), with Alcaraz winning 81.82% (W/L 63/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Dimitrov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 116/ 66), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 48/ 34). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
- Player level: In the last year, Dimitrov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 24/ 8), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Dimitrov winning 2 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Dimitrov winning 4 and Alcaraz winning 7. The last match between Dimitrov and Alcaraz was at the Miami Open - Miami, 28-03-2024, Quarterfinals, Hard with Grigor Dimitrov getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:35:31.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Dimitrov and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 1 times, with Dimitrov winning 1 times and Alcaraz 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Dimitrov winning 0, and Alcaraz 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Dimitrov has played against opponents with an average rank of 91.43 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 87.29.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Dimitrov has won 79% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 76% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Dimitrov has converted 35.16% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Dimitrov 2 - 3 Alcaraz
10
Rank
3
High
32
Age
R
Plays
2
Total3
2
Hard0
0
Clay1
0
Indoor1
0
Grass1
3
Rank
1
High
20
Age
R
Plays
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
62% (569-347)
Career Total W/L
79% (245-67)
79% (22-6)
YTD W/L
79% (15-4)
$17,450,835
Career Prize Money
$18,748,645
1
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Grigor Dimitrov | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 7 |
| Games Won | 48 | 56 |
| Aces (Total) | 25 | 17 |
| DFs (Total) | 15 | 8 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:35:31 | 1:35:31 |
| 1st Serve % | 65% (200/309) | 67% (206/309) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 69% (137/200) | 69% (143/206) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 43% (47/109) | 55% (57/103) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 44% (12/27) | 55% (16/29) |
| Return Points W% | 35% (109/309) | 40% (125/309) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 75% (4/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 25% (4/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 25% (4/1) | 0% (1/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 6-4 |
Stats 
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
| 5-7 6-2 6-4 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
72%
(
62 of
86)
1st Serve %
68%
(
53 of
78)
10
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
0
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
38 of
53)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
33%
(
28 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
26 of
78)
84
Total Points Won
80
|
||||
| 6-4 6-4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
73%
(
54 of
74)
1st Serve %
61%
(
33 of
54)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
7
69%
(
37 of
54)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
50%
(
10 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
7 of
21)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
36%
(
27 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
54)
70
Total Points Won
58
|
||||
| 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
69%
(
35 of
51)
1st Serve %
54%
(
29 of
54)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
18 of
29)
75%
(
12 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
25%
(
13 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
24 of
54)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
| 6-1 6-3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
69%
(
41 of
59)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
47%
(
8 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
34%
(
16 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
31 of
59)
62
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Grigor Dimitrov | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 79% (22/6) | 79% (15/4) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 70% (48/21) | 78% (35/10) |
| Games Win/Loss | 56% (389/306) | 61% (248/159) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 82% (14/3) | 87% (13/2) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 67% (2/1) | 50% (2/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 75% (6/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.68 | 0.3 |
| Aces Total | 233 | 61 |
| DFs per game | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| DFs Total | 71 | 31 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:57:16 | 1:44:44 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 111.93 | 132.47 |
| 1st Serve % | 65% (1322/2035) | 67% (802/1191) |
| 1st Serve W% | 80% (1060/1322) | 75% (598/802) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 55% (391/713) | 57% (222/389) |
| BPs Won% Total | 33% (68/204) | 43% (68/159) |
| Return Pts W% | 37% (831/2254) | 44% (595/1361) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 80% (4/1) |
| Masters W/L | 75% (9/3) | 90% (9/1) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 85% (11/2) | 50% (2/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 80% (20/25) | 85% (11/13) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 80% (4/5) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 63% (10/16) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 86% (6/7) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 94% (18/17) | 100% (13/13) |
| 1st set W, L | 6% (18/1) | 0% (13/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (10/5) | 40% (5/2) |
Grigor Dimitrov Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Holger Rune
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
70%
(
94 of
135)
1st Serve %
63%
(
74 of
117)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
64%
(
60 of
94)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
54 of
74)
54%
(
22 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
20 of
43)
25%
(
1 of
4)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
39%
(
53 of
135)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
43 of
117)
125
Total Points Won
127
|
7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve %
71%
(
44 of
62)
4
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
28 of
44)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
17 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
27 of
62)
64
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Valentin Vacherot
49%
(
27 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
74%
(
20 of
27)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
24 of
40)
68%
(
19 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
10 of
19)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
29%
(
16 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
25 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56%
(
24 of
43)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
21 of
24)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
19 of
32)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
22 of
50)
55
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Alexander Zverev
68%
(
65 of
96)
1st Serve %
75%
(
69 of
92)
18
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
1
78%
(
51 of
65)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
54 of
69)
65%
(
20 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
26%
(
25 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
30%
(
28 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
89
|
6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Hubert Hurkacz
69%
(
72 of
104)
1st Serve %
58%
(
64 of
110)
9
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
69%
(
50 of
72)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
49 of
64)
66%
(
21 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
23 of
46)
20%
(
1 of
5)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
32%
(
33 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
38 of
110)
109
Total Points Won
105
|
3-6 6-3 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Yannick Hanfmann
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve %
59%
(
20 of
34)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
91%
(
21 of
23)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
11 of
20)
78%
(
7 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
14%
(
2 of
14)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
4 of
32)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
21 of
34)
49
Total Points Won
17
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
69%
(
67 of
97)
1st Serve %
77%
(
87 of
113)
23
Aces
18
4
Double Faults
4
88%
(
59 of
67)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
65 of
87)
57%
(
17 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
15 of
26)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
22%
(
21 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
33 of
113)
109
Total Points Won
101
|
6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
61%
(
31 of
51)
1st Serve %
69%
(
40 of
58)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
5
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
29 of
40)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
6 of
18)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
23 of
58)
62
Total Points Won
47
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
1-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve %
78%
(
49 of
63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
75%
(
6 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
15%
(
6 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
64
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
25 of
58)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
43 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86%
(
37 of
43)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
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