Hayu Kinoshita vs Sae Noguchi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Noguchi and Kinoshita compare in their recent second serve performance? Noguchi has a slight edge here, winning 38.5% of points compared to Kinoshita’s 37.41%.
• In terms of returning, Noguchi shows stronger performance statistically, winning 45.32% of opponents' second serve points, while Kinoshita wins 44.74%.
• For first serve returns, Noguchi also surpasses Kinoshita with 39.96% success compared to 36.14%.
• Both players show resilience under pressure: Noguchi saves 46.3% of breakpoints, slightly better than Kinoshita's 45.73% save rate.
• Performance overview gives Kinoshita a slight lead with a higher match win percentage of 61.11% versus Noguchi’s 58.33% over the last year.
• Noguchi is stronger on hard surfaces with a 58% win rate, while Kinoshita excels on grass with an 86% win rate.
• Competition levels vary, but both players have comparable win rates at the ITF tournament level, Noguchi winning 56.25%, Kinoshita 53.57%.
• Kinoshita has faced higher-ranked opponents on average, suggesting possibly tougher competitions, with an average opponent rank of 392.72 versus Noguchi’s 443.
• In deciding sets, Noguchi outperforms Kinoshita with a 60% win rate compared to 43%, a crucial stat if the match extends to three sets.
• What about break point opportunities? Here, Kinoshita holds a minor advantage, converting 36.67% against Noguchi’s 35.37%.

Editorial Prediction (May 17, 2025, UTC):

While both players have exhibited competitive skills, certain statistical leads favor Noguchi. Specifically, Noguchi shows better performance in return games and resilience in deciding sets, suggesting an ability to capitalize in pressure situations.

On the other hand, Kinoshita’s slight overall match win percentage might indicate a consistency in different contexts. However, Noguchi’s strengths in returning serve and handling high-pressure sets are notable advantages.

Considering these insights, Noguchi seems to hold a slight edge in this upcoming match, particularly if conditions allow for extended play. Thus, Noguchi is the more probable winner based on current form and performance metrics.