Heather Watson vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

H. Watson vs A. Sabalenka

Heather Watson
Heather Watson

Flag GBR GBR

w
w
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
l
Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

Flag BLR BLR

w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
l

1

Win

2

Played

1

Win

33
Age
27
1.70m
Height
1.82m
264
C. Rank
1
38
Best Rank
1
4
Total Titles
21
0
YTD Titles
4
$2.7M
Career Money
$36.5M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Watson 1 - 1 Sabalenka

They have played 5 sets in total, with Heather Watson winning 2 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 3. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Heather Watson was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 12-08-2017, Round: Q1, Surface: Hard, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-6(4) 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Watson1
Sabalenka1
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(Q1Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-12-17)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
7
6
GBR Flag
Heather Watson
6
4

(R1Cagnes-Sur-Mer(05-09-17)

Clay
GBR Flag
Heather Watson
7
4
6
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
2

H. Watson vs A. Sabalenka H2H Profile

Stats
$2,704,519Career Prize Money$36,531,203
54.43% (436-365)Career Total W/L70.72% (483-200)
1Clay0
0Hard1
12Titles27
1Total H2H Matches1
25.00% (1-3)YTD Win/Loss84.29% (59-11)
0YTD Titles4

H. Watson vs A. Sabalenka Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Heather Watson has won 44.42% of points on their second serve, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 40.35%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Heather Watson, in recent form, has won 50.00% of their opponent's second serve points, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 46.67%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.09% and 30.12% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Heather Watson has saved 46.43% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Aryna Sabalenka has saved 53.27% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Heather Watson has won 43.75% of matches played (W/L 14/18), with Aryna Sabalenka winning 82.43% (W/L 61/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Heather Watson has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 77/46), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 58/60). Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 296/104), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/24).
  • Player level: In the last year, Heather Watson has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 64.29% of matches (W/L 9/5), where as Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 78.38% of matches (W/L 29/8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Heather Watson winning 1 times and Aryna Sabalenka being victorious 1 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Heather Watson winning 2 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 3.
  • The last match between Heather Watson and Aryna Sabalenka was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 12-08-2017, Round: Q1, Surface: Hard, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-6(4) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:7:39.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Heather Watson has played against opponents with an average rank of 155.53 while Aryna Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 49.46.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Heather Watson has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Heather Watson has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 32.48% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Heather Watson vs Aryna Sabalenka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

H. Watson vs A. Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won1
2Sets Won3
27Games Won27
11Aces (Total)13
10Total Double Faults15
2:7:39Average Match Time2:7:39
56% (100/180)1st Serve %51% (99/195)
66% (66/100)1st Serve Win %68% (67/99)
38% (30/80)2nd Serve Win %43% (41/96)
48% (10/21)Break Pts Won %48% (10/21)
45% (87/195)Return Points Win %47% (84/180)
50% (1/2)Best‑of‑3 Win %50% (1/2)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Watson 44%, Sabalenka 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Watson 54%, Sabalenka 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Watson 55%, Sabalenka 65%.

H. Watson Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

Q1

GEOE. Gorgodze
L
3-6 6-3 6-4
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

Q1

RUSA. Zakharova
L
6-2 6-3
HardEupago Porto Open - Porto - 14-07-2025

R1

PORA. Voloshchuk
L
6-4 ret.
GrassWimbledon - London - 30-06-2025

R1

DENC. Tauson
L
2-6 6-4 6-3
GrassRothesay International - Eastbourne - 23-06-2025

Q3

RUSK. Rakhimova
L
6-4 6-1

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

SF

USAJ. Pegula
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(2)

QF

KAZE. Rybakina
W
6-3 6-3

R3

RUSL. Samsonova
W
6-3 6-2

R2

SVKR. Sramkova
W
4-6 6-3 6-1
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

F

USAA. Anisimova
W
6-3 7-6(3)
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H. Watson vs A. Sabalenka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
54.43% (436/365)YTD Win/Loss70.72% (483/200)
53.35% (996/871)Sets Win/Loss66.60% (1067/535)
51.98% (9088/8395)Games Win/Loss56.17% (8417/6568)
53.77% (228/196)Hard Win/Loss74.00% (296/104)
49.15% (58/60)Clay Win/Loss66.67% (100/50)
64.12% (84/47)Indoor Hard W/L64.79% (46/25)
51.56% (66/62)Grass Win/Loss66.13% (41/21)
0.28Aces Per Game0.39
2428Aces Total2821
0.27Double Faults Per Game0.39
2324Total Double Faults2856
1:26:19Average Match Time1:30:54
440.68Average Opponent Rank284.63
60% (30138/50443)1st Serve %60% (27655/45745)
65% (19664/30138)1st Serve Win %69% (19050/27655)
45% (9127/20294)2nd Serve Win %47% (8557/18079)
45% (2686/5914)Break Points Won % (Total)47% (2571/5490)
44% (22126/50162)Return Points Win %45% (20433/45472)
42.99% (46/61)Slam W/L77.78% (105/30)
44.96% (58/71)Masters W/L70.95% (149/61)
65.71% (23/12)Cups W/L62.50% (10/6)
51.91% (163/151)Main Tour W/L67.93% (125/59)
66.67% (138/69)Challenger W/L64.89% (61/33)
88.89% (8/1)Futures W/L75.00% (33/11)
54% (431/792)Best of 3 Sets Win %71% (480/679)
100% (1/1)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (1/1)
50% (104/207)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)61% (111/181)
53% (144/272)Deciding Set Win %56% (135/239)
85% (420/358)1st Set Won, Won Match89% (460/410)
15% (420/61)1st Set Won, Lost Match11% (460/49)
20% (381/77)1st Set Lost, Won Match32% (223/72)

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