Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Swiatek and Paolini fare on second serves? In recent performance, Paolini leads with 43.59%, outperforming Swiatek's 39.16%.
• When it comes to returning opponent second serves, Paolini slightly edges out Swiatek, winning 48.93% of points compared to Swiatek's 47.38%.
• Why is first serve return important? Paolini's dominance is evident here as well, with a 35.03% success rate compared to Swiatek's 27.24%.
• Under pressure, like saving breakpoints, Paolini has an edge, saving 48.61% while Swiatek saves 44.99%.
• Overall match performance in the last year shows Swiatek with a higher win percentage at 79.17%, compared to Paolini's 68.33%.
• Both players perform best on clay, but Swiatek's record is stronger with an 87% win rate compared to Paolini's 64%.
• How do event levels differ in their recent Matches? Swiatek's success at the Masters series is marginally higher at 73.53%, while Paolini has won 69.7% at this level.
• Their head-to-head record heavily favors Swiatek, who has won all 5 meetings against Paolini, including 10 out of 11 sets.
• Swiatek has consistently beaten higher-ranked opponents, reflected by her competitors' average rank of 48.6, compared to 65.22 for Paolini.
• When matches go to a deciding set, Swiatek excels with a win rate of 73% over the last year, surpassing Paolini's 60%.
• Break point conversion insights suggest Paolini is better, converting 43.35% of opportunities, whereas Swiatek converts at 34.39%.

Editorial Prediction (August 17, 2025, UTC):

The stats reveal that while Jasmine Paolini shows promising numbers in second serve points, return games, and breakpoint conversion, Iga Swiatek leads in overall consistency and higher-level performance.

Although Paolini has a slight edge under pressure and certain return statistics, the overwhelming head-to-head record points to Swiatek's dominance over Paolini. Swiatek's higher success in deciding sets and experience against top-ranked players further enhance her position.

While both players have their strengths, Swiatek's broader capabilities and past results against Paolini make her the more likely victor in this upcoming match.