Ilia Simakin vs Sho Shimabukuro Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Ilia Simakin has won 46.63% of points on their second serve, while Sho Shimabukuro has won 49.09%. Does this give Sho an advantage? It likely contributes to their match success.
• Return Game Stats: Simakin has captured 44.25% of opponents' second serve points and 22.88% on first serves. Shimabukuro scores slightly lower with 43.80% on second serves but higher with 24.48% on first serve returns. Which player is more effective in return games? Shimabukuro might hold a slight edge here.
• Breakpoint Efficiency: Simakin has saved 59.33% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Shimabukuro's 58.14%. This stat indicates resilience under pressure.
• Overall Performance: In the last year, Simakin has a win rate of 68.92%, compared to Shimabukuro's 52.94%. What does this suggest? It suggests a stronger overall performance by Simakin.
• Surface Strength: Simakin excels on Hard courts with a 68% win rate, while Shimabukuro is better on Grass, also at 68%. Simakin performs least well on Clay (38%), and Shimabukuro on Indoor Hard (55%).
• Player Level: Both compete primarily in Challengers/ITF events, with Simakin winning 68.29% and Shimabukuro 52.38% of such matches. Which player competes at a higher level? The stats suggest Simakin performs better in these tiers.
• Direct H2H Record: In their only matchup, Shimabukuro won both sets and the match on a Hard court.
• Opponent Quality: Over the last year, Simakin's opponents had an average rank of 397.65, whereas Shimabukuro's were ranked 249.22 on average, indicating tougher competition faced by Shimabukuro.
• Deciding Sets: In deciding sets over the past year, Simakin and Shimabukuro have respective win rates of 45% and 48%. Does Shimabukuro have a mental advantage in tight scenarios? This edge might contribute to that perception.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming match, several performance metrics highlight the strengths and challenges both players face. Sho Shimabukuro displays a slight advantage in second serve points won, along with improved first serve return performance compared to Ilia Simakin. These factors might edge his prospects when it comes to critical points in the match.

Ilia Simakin shines on Hard courts and generally posts a higher win rate over the past year than Shimabukuro, which could play in his favor. However, Shimabukuro's past head-to-head win and experience against higher-ranked opponents may suggest a tactical advantage.

Considering overall performance metrics, return games, and historical encounters, Sho Shimabukuro seems poised as the likely winner, equipped with recent victory momentum and competitive experience.