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Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sinner vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sinner has won 58.58% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sinner, in recent form, has won 53.92% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.91% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sinner has saved 78.85% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sinner has won 85.14% of matches played (W/L 63/ 11), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 14/ 10). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.48% of matches (W/L 22/ 5), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sinner winning 0 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Sinner winning 0 and Nadal winning 8. The last match between Sinner and Nadal was at the French Open - Paris, 07-06-2021, Fourth, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:31.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sinner and Nadal have played a deciding set 0 times, with Sinner winning 0 times and Nadal 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Sinner winning 0, and Nadal 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sinner has played against opponents with an average rank of 86.99 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sinner has won 74% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sinner has converted 42.52% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Sinner 0 - 3 Nadal
2
Rank
2
High
22
Age
R
Plays
0
Total3
0
Hard0
0
Clay3
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
512
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
Form
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
71% (296-119)
Career Total W/L
82% (1115-238)
93% (25-2)
YTD W/L
60% (3-2)
$14,607,020
Career Prize Money
$96,415,145
3
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Jannik Sinner | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 0 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 0 | 8 |
| Games Won | 28 | 51 |
| Aces (Total) | 3 | 4 |
| DFs (Total) | 9 | 9 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:25:31 | 2:25:31 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (155/247) | 59% (141/241) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 53% (82/155) | 72% (102/141) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 42% (39/92) | 52% (52/100) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 50% (9/18) | 54% (20/37) |
| Return Points W% | 36% (87/241) | 51% (126/247) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 100% (3/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (3/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (3/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-5 6-3 6-0 |
Stats 
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jannik Sinner
58%
(
48 of
83)
1st Serve %
66%
(
50 of
76)
4
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
4
81%
(
39 of
48)
1st Serve Won
42%
(
21 of
50)
43%
(
15 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
64%
(
9 of
14)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
35%
(
29 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
45 of
76)
99
Total Points Won
60
|
||||
| 7-5 6-4 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jannik Sinner
49%
(
30 of
61)
1st Serve %
54%
(
42 of
78)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
70%
(
21 of
30)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
55%
(
17 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
38%
(
23 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
37 of
78)
75
Total Points Won
64
|
||||
| 7-6(4) 6-4 6-1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
63 of
97)
1st Serve %
68%
(
63 of
93)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
67%
(
42 of
63)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
36 of
63)
59%
(
20 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
35 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
44 of
93)
106
Total Points Won
84
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jannik Sinner | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 93% (25/2) | 60% (3/2) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 85% (58/10) | 64% (7/4) |
| Games Win/Loss | 63% (395/237) | 57% (59/45) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 94% (17/1) | 67% (2/1) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (3/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (5/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| Aces Total | 144 | 14 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.2 |
| DFs Total | 43 | 10 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:54:22 | 1:55:33 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 92.74 | 106.2 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (1151/1877) | 69% (222/322) |
| 1st Serve W% | 80% (916/1151) | 74% (164/222) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 59% (430/726) | 52% (52/100) |
| BPs Won% Total | 44% (94/214) | 42% (14/33) |
| Return Pts W% | 41% (843/2042) | 39% (125/318) |
| Slam W/L | 100% (7/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 87% (13/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 100% (5/0) | 60% (3/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 89% (17/19) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (7/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Deciding Set W% | 67% (4/6) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 96% (24/23) | 75% (4/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 4% (24/1) | 25% (4/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 67% (3/2) | 0% (1/0) |
Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jannik Sinner
60%
(
50 of
84)
1st Serve %
58%
(
59 of
102)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
70%
(
35 of
50)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
44 of
59)
62%
(
21 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
20 of
43)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
33%
(
28 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
38 of
102)
94
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59%
(
53 of
90)
1st Serve %
53%
(
50 of
95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87%
(
46 of
53)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
41 of
50)
68%
(
25 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
22 of
45)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
21%
(
19 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
32 of
95)
103
Total Points Won
82
|
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve %
44%
(
28 of
63)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
4
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
17 of
28)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
24%
(
11 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
30 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
44
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
52%
(
32 of
62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
26%
(
11 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
33 of
62)
65
Total Points Won
40
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56%
(
24 of
43)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
21 of
24)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
19 of
32)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
22 of
50)
55
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tomas Machac
60%
(
30 of
50)
1st Serve %
53%
(
38 of
72)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
24 of
38)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
34 of
72)
70
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Christopher O'Connell
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve %
56%
(
40 of
71)
2
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
26 of
40)
71%
(
15 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
13 of
31)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
26%
(
14 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
32 of
71)
72
Total Points Won
53
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
68%
(
51 of
75)
1st Serve %
71%
(
80 of
112)
15
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
0
90%
(
46 of
51)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
53 of
80)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
17%
(
13 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
44 of
112)
106
Total Points Won
81
|
5-7 7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Andrea Vavassori
69%
(
36 of
52)
1st Serve %
65%
(
33 of
51)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
92%
(
33 of
36)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
44%
(
7 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
11 of
18)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
12 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
18 of
51)
58
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
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