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Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sinner vs Paul analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sinner has won 58.58% of points on his second serve, while Paul has won 53.1%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sinner, in recent form, has won 53.92% of his opponent's second serve points, while Paul has won 49.93%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.91% and 34.02% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sinner has saved 78.85% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Paul has saved 64.54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sinner has won 85.53% of matches played (W/L 65/ 11), with Paul winning 61.11% (W/L 44/ 28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 14/ 10). Paul has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 115/ 65), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 22/ 14).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.48% of matches (W/L 22/ 5), where as Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sinner winning 2 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Sinner winning 5 and Paul winning 3. The last match between Sinner and Paul was at the National Bank Open - Toronto, 13-08-2023, Semifinals, Hard with Jannik Sinner getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:20:27.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sinner and Paul have played a deciding set 2 times, with Sinner winning 1 times and Paul 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Sinner winning 1, and Paul 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sinner has played against opponents with an average rank of 85.93 while Paul has played against players with an average rank of 144.54.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sinner has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Paul has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sinner has converted 42.52% of breakpoint opportunities, and Paul has converted 38.14% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Sinner 2 - 1 Paul

Jannik Sinner

18

Total

2

Mast

3

Chall

1

Slam

10

Main

2

Minor

2

Rank

2

High

22

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

16

Rank

12

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Tommy Paul

12

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

6

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

W W W W W W W W W L

Form

W W L L W W W W L L

71% (296-119)

Career Total W/L

63% (398-229)

93% (25-2)

YTD W/L

70% (14-6)

$14,607,020

Career Prize Money

$5,428,545

3

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sinner VS Paul H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jannik Sinner Tommy Paul
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 5 3
Games Won 43 39
Aces (Total) 17 4
DFs (Total) 10 7
Avg Match Time 2:20:27 2:20:27
1st Serve % 52% (133/254) 62% (172/276)
1st Serve Win% 76% (101/133) 73% (125/172)
2nd Serve Win% 56% (68/121) 46% (48/104)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (9/27) 37% (7/19)
Return Points W% 37% (103/276) 33% (85/254)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)

Sinner VS Paul H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tommy Paul
46% ( 32 of 70)
1st Serve %
67% ( 43 of 64)
4
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
42% ( 16 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
41% ( 29 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 30 of 64)
71
Total Points Won
63
6-3 3-6 6-3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jannik Sinner
58% ( 53 of 91)
1st Serve %
49% ( 37 of 76)
0
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
4
81% ( 43 of 53)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 30 of 37)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
31% ( 28 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 23 of 76)
86
Total Points Won
81
6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tommy Paul
59% ( 64 of 108)
1st Serve %
63% ( 76 of 121)
8
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
66% ( 29 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 20 of 45)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
31% ( 33 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 45 of 121)
120
Total Points Won
109

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jannik Sinner Tommy Paul
YTD W/L 93% (25/2) 70% (14/6)
Sets Win/Loss 85% (58/10) 68% (34/16)
Games Win/Loss 63% (395/237) 56% (255/202)
Hard Win/Loss 94% (17/1) 63% (10/6)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (5/0) 100% (4/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.47 0.52
Aces Total 144 116
DFs per game 0.14 0.16
DFs Total 43 36
Avg Match Time 1:54:22 1:48:54
Avg Opp Rank 92.74 159.3
1st Serve % 61% (1151/1877) 60% (869/1452)
1st Serve W% 80% (916/1151) 73% (631/869)
2nd Serve W% 59% (430/726) 54% (314/583)
BPs Won% Total 44% (94/214) 41% (63/153)
Return Pts W% 41% (843/2042) 41% (621/1514)
Slam W/L 100% (7/0) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 87% (13/2) 67% (4/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 100% (5/0) 73% (8/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 89% (17/19) 75% (12/16)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (7/7) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (3/5) 50% (2/4)
Deciding Set W% 67% (4/6) 50% (3/6)
1st set W, W 96% (24/23) 87% (15/13)
1st set W, L 4% (24/1) 7% (15/1)
1st set L, W 67% (3/2) 20% (5/1)

Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jannik Sinner
60% ( 50 of 84)
1st Serve %
58% ( 59 of 102)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 44 of 59)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 28 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 38 of 102)
94
Total Points Won
92
L
6-4 3-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
53% ( 50 of 95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 41 of 50)
68% ( 25 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 19 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 32 of 95)
103
Total Points Won
82
W
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve %
44% ( 28 of 63)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
4
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
65
Total Points Won
44
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56% ( 24 of 43)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
55
Total Points Won
38
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
37
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tomas Machac
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve %
53% ( 38 of 72)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
70
Total Points Won
52
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Christopher O'Connell
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
2
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
71% ( 15 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 32 of 71)
72
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
68% ( 51 of 75)
1st Serve %
71% ( 80 of 112)
15
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
0
90% ( 46 of 51)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 53 of 80)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
17% ( 13 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 44 of 112)
106
Total Points Won
81
W
5-7 7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Andrea Vavassori
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve %
65% ( 33 of 51)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
92% ( 33 of 36)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 11 of 18)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 12 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 51)
58
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-4 H2H

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Martin Damm
Player
Tommy Paul
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
10
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 21 of 30)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 12 of 18)
0% ( 0 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 15 of 44)
43
Total Points Won
43
L
4-6 2-1 ret. H2H
SF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
L
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Casper Ruud
55% ( 47 of 86)
1st Serve %
71% ( 67 of 94)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 40 of 67)
38% ( 15 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
43% ( 37 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 94)
92
Total Points Won
88
W
6-2 1-6 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Luca Nardi
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 67)
64
Total Points Won
54
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Ugo Humbert
66% ( 37 of 56)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 17 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alex Michelsen
56% ( 23 of 41)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
83% ( 19 of 23)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 12 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 38 of 73)
67
Total Points Won
47
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Tommy Paul
57% ( 28 of 49)
1st Serve %
57% ( 32 of 56)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
61
Total Points Won
44
L
6-0 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Tommy Paul
58% ( 43 of 74)
1st Serve %
49% ( 26 of 53)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 24 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 53)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Frances Tiafoe
74% ( 31 of 42)
1st Serve %
61% ( 30 of 49)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 9 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
56
Total Points Won
35
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jordan Thompson
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
49% ( 30 of 61)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 18 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-3 H2H

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