Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Examining recent second serve performances, Pegula has won slightly more points at 43.6% compared to Kalinskaya's 42.56%.
• Who has the upper hand in return games? Pegula shows slightly superior first serve return stats at 29.9%, but Kalinskaya edges her out on second serves with 46.56%.
• In clutch situations, Pegula demonstrates a higher breakpoint saving rate at 50.97%, outperforming Kalinskaya's 43.07%.
• Over the past year, Pegula has a higher match win percentage of 73.61% in contrast to Kalinskaya's 57.78%.
• Both players favor Hard courts, but Pegula claims a slightly better career win percentage at 67% compared to Kalinskaya's 65% on this surface.
• At the Masters level, Pegula has more experience, showing a 68.57% win rate, while Kalinskaya's focus has been on the Main tour with a 66.67% success rate.
• Direct H2H encounters favor Pegula, who has won all three past meetings, securing 6 out of 9 sets played.
• Past matches have averaged a lengthy 2:11:6 in duration, indicating close competition between them.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Pegula holds an advantage, having won all such instances against Kalinskaya.
• Tiebreaks have been evenly split, with each player claiming victory twice in their encounters.
• The quality of opponents differs; Pegula has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 54.18, whereas Kalinskaya's opponents averaged around 74.84.
• In general deciding sets, Pegula has a higher success rate of 67% over the last year compared to Kalinskaya's 57%.
• Both players hold similar breakpoint conversion rates: Pegula at 33.5% and Kalinskaya at 32.32%.

Editorial Prediction (May 21, 2025, UTC):

The comparison of performance patterns highlights Pegula's slightly stronger second serve performance and greater efficiency in saving breakpoints, which could be critical under pressure.

While Kalinskaya has a marginal edge in second serve returns, Pegula's experience and success rate at higher-level events like the Masters series present her as a formidable opponent.

Their direct head-to-head matches have heavily leaned toward Pegula, as she has won all previous encounters, showing resilience in deciding sets.

Given Pegula's consistent performance against higher-ranked opponents and her better breakpoint and deciding set stats, the prediction leans towards Pegula as the likely winner of the upcoming match.