Jessica Pegula vs Cori Gauff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve statistics reveal Jessica Pegula's stronger performance, winning 44.38% of points compared to Cori Gauff's 37.94%. Could this form an advantage in their upcoming match? It certainly appears to.
• Cori Gauff has a slight advantage in return game statistics, winning 51.54% of opponents' second serve points versus Pegula's 50.10%. Additionally, Gauff prevails in first serve returns with 32.15% over Pegula's 28.50%.
• When facing breakpoints, Pegula demonstrates greater resilience, saving 53.42% compared to Gauff's 46.15%. How significant is this under high-pressure moments? Historically, it's key for determining outcomes.
• Over the last year, Gauff edges out Pegula in match victories, winning 75.76% of her matches against Pegula's 69.86%.
• The best career surface for both players differ—Gauff excels on clay with a 73% win rate, whereas Pegula shines on hard courts, securing the same percentage of victories.
• Both players have predominantly competed in the Masters series, Gauff achieving a 73.17% win rate compared to Pegula's 66.67%.
• Head-to-head, Pegula leads with four victories to Gauff's two, and in sets, Pegula again holds the edge with eight of thirteen. Recent form saw Gauff victorious in their last encounter.
• In deciding sets, Gauff appears more formidable, with an 81% success rate, compared to Pegula's 61% over the past year.
• Opponent quality indicates Gauff facing slightly stronger adversaries, boasting an average opponent rank of 40.2, while Pegula's stands at 49.16.

Editorial Prediction (October 11, 2025, UTC):

As we delve into this match, second serve prowess stands as a critical factor. With Jessica Pegula showcasing a superior recent record on second serve points, she could possess a significant edge.

However, Cori Gauff's ability to return and win higher percentages on both second and first serves might level the playing field. Each player's versatility across different surfaces could determine adaptability and success.

Though Pegula historically leads in head-to-head encounters, Gauff's recent victory might signal a shift in momentum. Gauff's higher success rate in deciding sets suggests she thrives under crucial match situations.

Considering all these elements, while both players have compelling strengths, the prediction tilts slightly in favor of Jessica Pegula. Her advantageous serve statistics combined with consistent performance under pressure make her the likely winner in this upcoming face-off.