Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In their recent six-month form, Alexandrova has secured 41.25% of points on her second serve compared to Pegula's 43.71%. These second serve stats are particularly significant in determining match outcomes. Additionally, return game statistics highlight Alexandrova's ability to claim 51.81% of her opponent's second serve points, while Pegula's percentage stands at 47.54%. When it comes to returning first serves, Alexandrova leads with 31.51%, marginally ahead of Pegula's 30.04%.

Examining performances under pressure, both players have nearly equal success in saving breakpoints, with Alexandrova at 50% and Pegula at 50.16%. Over the past year, Pegula's win rate is impressive at 76.12% (51 wins, 16 losses), surpassing Alexandrova's 54.9% (28 wins, 23 losses). On indoor hard courts, Alexandrova has excelled with a win rate of 69%, while her less favored surface is the hard court at 55%. Conversely, Pegula's top performance is on the hard court with a 67% win rate, and her lesser success is on indoor hard courts at 57%.

In terms of competition level, Alexandrova has participated principally in the Main Tour with a 65.52% win rate (19 wins, 10 losses), whereas Pegula has primarily played the Masters series, achieving a 70.97% win rate (22 wins, 9 losses). Their head-to-head record is evenly split, with each winning twice in their four encounters. The last meeting at the Credit One Charleston Open saw Pegula win in a tight three-set battle. Throughout their 11 sets played, Pegula leads slightly with six wins compared to Alexandrova's five.

Analyzing their performance in tightly contested matches, both have not experienced any tiebreaks against each other. However, in deciding sets, Alexandrova has won two out of three against Pegula. Considering opponent quality, Pegula has faced players averaging a rank of 120.16, tougher than Alexandrova's average opponent rank of 133.2. If this match extends to a deciding set, Pegula's 67% success rate over the last year outshines Alexandrova's 50% in all matches on tour.

Recent form in break point conversion gives Pegula a slight advantage; she has converted 36.57% of opportunities compared to Alexandrova's 31.01%. Based on these comprehensive statistics and previous performances, Pegula stands as the favorite to win this upcoming match.