Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Siniakova has a weaker second serve performance, winning only 37.83% of points compared to Pegula's 44.68% over the past six months.
• In returning games, Siniakova edges out Pegula by winning 49.2% of second serve points compared to Pegula’s 47.15%, and 32.99% of first serve points compared to Pegula's 29.63%.
• When under pressure, Siniakova saves 54.67% of breakpoints, slightly better than Pegula's 52.46%.
• Over the last year, Pegula has a higher match win percentage with 70.83%, while Siniakova stands at 55.36%.
• Siniakova performs best on clay with a 62% win rate, whereas Pegula excels on hard courts, winning 67% of her matches.
• Most of Pegula's matches have been in the Masters series with a win rate of 68.57%, while Siniakova has played mainly on the Main tour, winning 63.64%.
• In their direct encounters, Pegula leads with 3 wins out of 4 matches against Siniakova, winning 7 out of 10 sets.
• Both players have each won one deciding set in their head-to-head clashes, a crucial detail if the match extends into a decisive set.
• Pegula has triumphed in the only tiebreak played between them, illustrating her strength in critical moments.
• Siniakova faced opponents with an average rank of 109.02 recently, whereas Pegula's opponents had an average rank of 52.33, indicating Pegula's experience against tougher competition.
• Siniakova’s overall deciding set performance is at 47%, compared to Pegula's more robust 59% win rate in such scenarios.
• Siniakova converts her breakpoints at a higher rate of 41.12% contrasting with Pegula’s 34.14%.

Editorial Prediction (June 24, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the statistics, Pegula displays stronger second serve performance, indicating a definitive edge in controlling the pace and direction of the match. Her ability to win against higher-ranked opponents adds confidence to her resilience against top-level competition.

While Siniakova showcases slightly better performance in returning serves and saving breakpoints, Pegula's consistency and superior win rate over the last year are notable. The head-to-head history favors Pegula as well, with a 3-1 lead suggesting an understanding of Siniakova's play style.

Considering the pressure scenarios, Pegula's decisiveness in tiebreaks and deciding sets further strengthens her position as the likely favorite. While Siniakova can exploit breakpoints more effectively, Pegula's greater composure in critical moments gives her an overall advantage.

Given these insights, Jessica Pegula appears to be the more likely victor in the upcoming match.