Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Rybakina has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 43.34% of points compared to Fernandez's 41.12% over the past six months.
• Both players exhibit closely matched return game stats, with Rybakina slightly ahead in returning second serves at 49.59% versus Fernandez's 48.8%, but Fernandez leads on first serve returns at 29.31% compared to Rybakina's 26.4%.
• Under pressure, Rybakina and Fernandez are nearly identical in saving breakpoints, with success rates of 54.71% and 54.51%, respectively. How might this influence in-game betting?
• In terms of overall performance, Rybakina has a win rate of 69.23% over the last year, compared to Fernandez's 54.24%.
• Rybakina's strongest surface is Grass with a 73% win rate, whereas Fernandez performs best on Indoor Hard at 71%.
• Rybakina has been competing at a higher level, mostly in Masters series, winning 52.63%, while Fernandez has found more success on the Main tour with a 62.07% win rate.
• They have an even head-to-head record, each winning one of their two previous encounters, with past matches averaging over two hours.
• In deciding sets and tiebreaks, Fernandez has a slight advantage, having won both the sole deciding set and tiebreak they've played against each other.
• The quality of opponents faced by Rybakina is slightly higher, with an average rank of 72.71, as opposed to Fernandez's opponents averaging a rank of 79.2.
• Fernandez has a marginally better performance in matches going to a deciding set, winning 50% compared to Rybakina's 47%.
• Both players are efficient when converting break point opportunities, but Fernandez leads slightly with a conversion rate of 35.22% against Rybakina's 33.01%.

Editorial Prediction (July 26, 2025, UTC):

Both players display competitive statistics across various performance metrics. Rybakina has a slight edge in second serve effectiveness and overall annual match wins.

Fernandez, meanwhile, demonstrates consistency on first serve returns and greater success in deciding sets and tiebreaks against Rybakina. Her recent victory in their last matchup could also play a psychological advantage.

Given Rybakina's experience in higher-level tournaments and slightly higher match win percentage, she seems slightly favored. However, Fernandez's track record in pressure situations suggests she cannot be underestimated.

The match appears evenly matched, yet with Rybakina's strong form and higher-level competition experience, she is marginally more likely to prevail in this encounter.