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Luca Castagnola vs Bogdan Pavel Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Castagnola vs Pavel analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Luca Castagnola vs Bogdan Pavel Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Castagnola has won 48.23% of points on his second serve, while Pavel has won 50%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Castagnola, in recent form, has won 58.28% of his opponent's second serve points, while Pavel has won 46.9%. The same stats for first serve returns are 39.28% and 31.69% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Castagnola has saved 56.45% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pavel has saved 63.41% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Castagnola has won 59.7% of matches played (W/L 40/ 27), with Pavel winning 61.7% (W/L 29/ 18) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Castagnola has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 48/ 29), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 1/ 1). Pavel has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 112/ 70), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 20% (W/L 1/ 4).
  • Player level: In the last year, Castagnola has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 64.41% of matches (W/L 38/ 21), where as Pavel has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 63.04% of matches (W/L 29/ 17). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Castagnola winning 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Castagnola winning 2 and Pavel winning 1. The last match between Castagnola and Pavel was at the M25 Kiseljak, 31-05-2022, Q3, Clay with Luca Castagnola getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:19:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Castagnola and Pavel have played a deciding set 1 times, with Castagnola winning 1 times and Pavel 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Castagnola winning 1, and Pavel 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Castagnola has played against opponents with an average rank of 121.4 while Pavel has played against players with an average rank of 139.7.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Castagnola has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pavel has won 62% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Castagnola has converted 53.69% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pavel has converted 47.54% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Castagnola 1 - 0 Pavel

Luca Castagnola

1

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

1

Minor

632

Rank

632

High

21

Age

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

857

Rank

848

High

24

Age

Plays

Bogdan Pavel

1

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W W W L W W W L

Form

W L W W L W W L L L

59% (140-99)

Career Total W/L

60% (113-74)

65% (13-7)

YTD W/L

36% (5-9)

$0

Career Prize Money

$0

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Castagnola VS Pavel H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Luca Castagnola Bogdan Pavel
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 1
Games Won 20 17
Aces (Total) 0 8
DFs (Total) 2 4
Avg Match Time 2:19:0 2:19:0
1st Serve % 70% (48/69) 55% (51/93)
1st Serve Win% 73% (35/48) 73% (37/51)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (11/21) 48% (20/42)
BPs Won% (Total) 14% (1/7) 100% (2/2)
Return Points W% 39% (36/93) 33% (23/69)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Castagnola VS Pavel H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(8) 3-6 10-5
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Bogdan Pavel
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve %
55% ( 51 of 93)
0
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 20 of 42)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 36 of 93)
82
Total Points Won
80

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Luca Castagnola Bogdan Pavel
YTD W/L 65% (13/7) 36% (5/9)
Sets Win/Loss 62% (28/17) 42% (13/18)
Games Win/Loss 58% (242/177) 48% (138/152)
Hard Win/Loss 65% (13/7) 0% (0/0)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 36% (5/9)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.07 0.31
Aces Total 15 44
DFs per game 0.36 0.13
DFs Total 74 19
Avg Match Time 1:37:6 1:21:46
Avg Opp Rank 140.4 249.64
1st Serve % 66% (755/1151) 54% (401/737)
1st Serve W% 63% (479/755) 69% (277/401)
2nd Serve W% 48% (191/396) 50% (168/336)
BPs Won% Total 54% (80/149) 48% (29/61)
Return Pts W% 47% (566/1216) 37% (247/671)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 65% (13/7) 38% (5/8)
Best of 3 Sets W% 65% (13/20) 36% (5/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (3/9) 0% (0/3)
Deciding Set W% 60% (3/5) 0% (0/3)
1st set W, W 91% (11/10) 71% (7/5)
1st set W, L 9% (11/1) 29% (7/2)
1st set L, W 33% (9/3) 0% (7/0)

Luca Castagnola Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Florian Broska
Player
Luca Castagnola
59% ( 27 of 46)
1st Serve %
71% ( 32 of 45)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
33
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Luca Potenza
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 41 of 76)
74
Total Points Won
52
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Peter Buldorini
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve %
75% ( 46 of 61)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 3 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
71
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Jack Loge
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 66)
0
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
6
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
47% ( 36 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 40 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
62
W
6-1 7-6(2) H2H
SF
cross
Luca Potenza
Player
Luca Castagnola
73% ( 77 of 106)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 44 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 33 of 76)
95
Total Points Won
87
L
7-6(2) 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Thomas Deschamps
67% ( 66 of 98)
1st Serve %
61% ( 66 of 108)
4
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
4
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 46 of 66)
56% ( 18 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
36% ( 35 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
98
W
6-7(0) 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Mousa Alkotop
72% ( 48 of 67)
1st Serve %
62% ( 45 of 73)
0
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
56% ( 27 of 48)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
43% ( 29 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
78
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Albert Saar
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
61% ( 27 of 44)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
100% ( 16 of 16)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
11% ( 3 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
54
Total Points Won
17
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
QF
L
7-5 7-6(4) H2H
Q2
W
6-2 6-1 H2H

Bogdan Pavel Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Valentin Vacherot
Player
Bogdan Pavel
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve %
52% ( 30 of 58)
2
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 28 of 58)
62
Total Points Won
45
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
Q2
L
6-4 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Eero Vasa
Player
Bogdan Pavel
54% ( 29 of 54)
1st Serve %
57% ( 40 of 70)
6
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
93% ( 27 of 29)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 13 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 26 of 70)
67
Total Points Won
57
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q2
cross
Bogdan Pavel
Player
Lucio Carnevalle
54% ( 25 of 46)
1st Serve %
66% ( 35 of 53)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 15 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
39
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
Q1
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Filip Cristian Jianu
Player
Bogdan Pavel
87% ( 61 of 70)
1st Serve %
53% ( 45 of 85)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
69% ( 42 of 61)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
67% ( 6 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 85)
90
Total Points Won
65
L
4-6 6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Bogdan Pavel
Player
Lewie Lane
59% ( 39 of 66)
1st Serve %
57% ( 36 of 63)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 19 of 36)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
30% ( 20 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Bogdan Pavel
Player
Aleksandre Metreveli
49% ( 20 of 41)
1st Serve %
56% ( 18 of 32)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 13 of 18)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 10 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
45
Total Points Won
28
W
6-4 3-0 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Svyatoslav Gulin
Player
Bogdan Pavel
52% ( 24 of 46)
1st Serve %
56% ( 27 of 48)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
57
Total Points Won
37
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Bogdan Pavel
Player
Calin Manda
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
79% ( 44 of 56)
6
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
62
Total Points Won
43
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

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