Luka Pavlovic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 16 Oct at 02:49 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

L. Pavlovic vs P. Carreno-Busta

Luka Pavlovic
Luka Pavlovic

Flag FRA FRA

l
l
l
w
l
l
w
l
w
l
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

Flag ESP ESP

w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l

0

Win

1

Played

1

Win

25
Age
34
-
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
212
C. Rank
97
184
Best Rank
10
0
Total Titles
7
0
YTD Titles
0
$0
Career Money
$10.7M
-
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Pavlovic 0 - 1 Carreno-Busta

They have played 3 sets in total, with Luka Pavlovic winning 1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Luka Pavlovic was at the Olbia Challenger, 16-10-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 3-6 6-1 6-2.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Pavlovic0
Carreno-Busta1
Last 1 H2H Matches:

(R2Olbia Challenger(10-16-25)

Hard
ESP Flag
Pablo Carreno-Busta
3
6
6
FRA Flag
Luka Pavlovic
6
1
2

L. Pavlovic vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

Stats
$0Career Prize Money$10,687,070
60.95% (231-148)Career Total W/L63.34% (610-353)
0Hard1
6Titles33
0Total H2H Matches1
0% (0-0)YTD Win/Loss38.10% (8-13)

L. Pavlovic vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:

  • Second Serve Performance: Luka Pavlovic leads slightly with 45.93% of points won on second serves compared to Pablo Carreno-Busta's 44.87% over the last six months.
  • Return Game: Pablo Carreno-Busta excels in returning second serves, winning 45.32% of such points, compared to Luka Pavlovic's 41.79%. On first serve returns, Carreno-Busta also holds an edge with 26.57% over Pavlovic's 24.87%.
  • Under Pressure: Pavlovic has been more effective in saving breakpoints, with a success rate of 57.50% against Carreno-Busta's 55.94%.
  • Overall Performance: In the past year, Pavlovic has won 60.34% of his matches, slightly ahead of Carreno-Busta who has a winning rate of 58.46%.
  • Surface Preference: Pavlovic performs best on grass with a 67% win rate, whereas Carreno-Busta thrives on clay, also with a 67% success rate.
  • Event Level: Carreno-Busta has played stronger competition, facing players with an average rank of 191.49, compared to Pavlovic's 263.59-ranked opponents.
  • In Deciding Sets: Pavlovic appears more steady, winning 62% of deciding sets, while Carreno-Busta has managed only 43%.
  • Best Tournament Level Performance: Both players have succeeded at the Challengers/ITF level, but Carreno-Busta boasts a superior win ratio.

Editorial Prediction (October 16, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the key statistics for Luka Pavlovic and Pablo Carreno-Busta ahead of their upcoming match, certain patterns begin to emerge. Pavlovic holds a slight lead in second serve efficiency and has proven to be more resilient under pressure, especially when it comes to saving breakpoints. These strengths suggest he could perform well in high-tension scenarios.

Conversely, Carreno-Busta showcases his competence in return games, winning a greater percentage of points on his opponent's serve, indicating strong baseline play. His success on clay also highlights his proficiency over a wider variety of surfaces, providing a versatile edge.

While both players have demonstrated success at the Challengers/ITF level, Carreno-Busta’s experience against higher-ranked opponents might play a crucial role in this encounter. The deciding set stats favor Pavlovic, hinting his tenacity in close matches may prove critical.

Factoring in these elements, Pablo Carreno-Busta, with his superior return stats and experience, seems slightly more poised to clinch the win in this upcoming face-off. However, Pavlovic's consistency in crucial moments cannot be entirely overlooked.

Luka Pavlovic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

L. Pavlovic vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
0H2H Matches Won1
1Sets Won2
9Games Won15
11Aces (Total)0
5Total Double Faults0
1:40:44Average Match Time1:40:44
49% (41/84)1st Serve %79% (52/66)
66% (27/41)1st Serve Win %75% (39/52)
44% (19/43)2nd Serve Win %57% (8/14)
50% (1/2)Break Pts Won %50% (4/8)
29% (19/66)Return Points Win %45% (38/84)
0% (0/1)Best‑of‑3 Win %100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)Deciding Set Win %100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/0)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)1st Set Lost, Won Match100% (1/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Pavlovic 52%, Carreno-Busta 52%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Pavlovic 47%, Carreno-Busta 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Pavlovic 69%, Carreno-Busta 62%.

L. Pavlovic Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardOlbia Challenger - 13-10-2025

R2

ESPP. Carreno-Busta
L
3-6 6-1 6-2

R1

CANA. Galarneau
W
7-6(4) 6-3
ClayValencia Challenger - 06-10-2025

R2

ESPC. Taberner
L
6-2 6-3

R1

ESPB. Zapata
W
2-6 6-1 6-1
ClayLisbon Challenger - 22-09-2025

R1

CZEV. Kopriva
L
6-3 6-4

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardOlbia Challenger - 13-10-2025

F

FRAL. Van
L
7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2

SF

ESPM. Landaluce
W
6-2 3-6 6-3

QF

CHIA. Tabilo
W
6-3 1-6 7-6(3)

R2

FRAL. Pavlovic
W
3-6 6-1 6-2

R1

ITAP. Basile
W
6-2 6-7(5) 6-3
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L. Pavlovic vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
60.95% (231/148)YTD Win/Loss63.34% (610/353)
59.11% (503/348)Sets Win/Loss60.20% (1431/946)
53.28% (4213/3695)Games Win/Loss53.51% (12137/10545)
44.83% (13/16)Hard Win/Loss65.35% (198/105)
63.44% (210/121)Clay Win/Loss65.62% (355/186)
37.50% (6/10)Indoor Hard W/L51.52% (51/48)
66.67% (2/1)Grass Win/Loss30.00% (6/14)
0.4Aces Per Game0.26
1534Aces Total2864
0.26Double Faults Per Game0.12
995Total Double Faults1384
1:9:32Average Match Time1:21:30
405.33Average Opponent Rank483.18
55% (10179/18369)1st Serve %64% (35944/56288)
72% (7319/10179)1st Serve Win %70% (25056/35944)
49% (4029/8190)2nd Serve Win %52% (10546/20339)
43% (789/1856)Break Points Won % (Total)42% (2307/5554)
39% (7361/18642)Return Points Win %39% (22215/56929)
40.00% (2/3)Slam W/L59.41% (60/41)
0% (0/0)Masters W/L52.59% (71/64)
0% (0/0)Cups W/L55.00% (11/9)
0.00% (0/1)Main Tour W/L56.38% (168/130)
0% (0/0)Tour Finals W/L0.00% (0/2)
62.69% (42/25)Challenger W/L70.56% (151/63)
61.11% (187/119)Futures W/L77.01% (144/43)
61% (225/369)Best of 3 Sets Win %64% (541/847)
40% (2/5)Best of 5 Sets Win %59% (61/104)
54% (50/92)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)56% (207/367)
53% (50/95)Deciding Set Win %55% (170/308)
87% (228/198)1st Set Won, Won Match86% (595/514)
13% (228/29)1st Set Won, Lost Match13% (595/79)
19% (150/29)1st Set Lost, Won Match26% (366/94)

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