Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Pavel Kotov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mackenzie McDonald has a recent second serve point win rate of 44.36%, slightly lower than Pavel Kotov's 45.41%. Could this minor difference influence the match outcome? Perhaps slightly, but it's not decisive.
• In returning second serves in recent matches, Kotov edges McDonald with a win rate of 45.32% compared to McDonald's 44.32%.
• For first serve returns, Kotov is stronger, capturing 25.21% of points over McDonald's 21.43%. Does this give Kotov an edge? It might, especially if serving becomes critical.
• Both players save breakpoints at similar rates, with Kotov slightly better at 55.45% compared to McDonald's 54.36%.
• Over the past year, McDonald has a significantly higher match win percentage at 60.27%, while Kotov sits at 29.41%.
• On Hard surfaces, McDonald and Kotov both perform well, with McDonald holding a 59% win rate, closely mirroring Kotov's 59% on Indoor Hard.
• McDonald's performance in challenger-level matches is notably higher, winning 71.88%, compared to Kotov's 38.46%.
• In their only direct encounter, McDonald defeated Kotov convincingly in straight sets at the Miami Open, highlighting strong past form against Kotov.
• McDonald's recent opponents have had an average rank of 193.03, compared to Kotov's more formidable 177.29 opponent average.
• In deciding sets over the past year, McDonald has been slightly more dependable, winning 50% of such sets compared to Kotov's 45%.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the available data, it is evident that while both players have their strengths, Mackenzie McDonald possesses a more consistent performance record over the past year. His overall match win percentage indicates a higher competitive level, especially in challenger tournaments where he seems to thrive.

Pavel Kotov could pose a challenge with slight advantages in specific serve and return metrics. However, McDonald's past victory against him and his better breakpoint conversion are significant factors that point towards him being the more likely winner in this matchup.

Overall, considering past encounters, surface preferences, and match readiness, Mackenzie McDonald is favored to win the upcoming match against Pavel Kotov.