Madison Keys vs Anastasia Potapova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 08 Mar at 07:01 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

M. Keys vs A. Potapova

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

Flag USA USA

w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova

Flag RUS RUS

l
l
w
l
l
w
l
w
w
w

2

Win

3

Played

1

Win

30
Age
24
1.78m
Height
1.75m
6
C. Rank
59
5
Best Rank
21
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$20.8M
Career Money
$3.4M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Keys 2 - 1 Potapova

They have played 6 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 4 and Anastasia Potapova winning 2. The last match between Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-3 6-0.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Keys2
Potapova1
Last H2H Matches:

(R2BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-08-25)

Hard
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
6
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
3
0

(R2Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(03-09-21)

Hard
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
6
6
USA Flag
Madison Keys
4
3

(R2Australian Open - Melbourne(01-17-19)

Hard
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
6
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
3
4

M. Keys vs A. Potapova H2H Profile

Stats
$20,819,148Career Prize Money$3,437,946
64.47% (421-232)Career Total W/L58.54% (240-170)
2Hard1
14Titles4
2Total H2H Matches1
74.00% (37-13)YTD Win/Loss60.53% (23-15)
2YTD Titles1

M. Keys vs A. Potapova Match Preview

Analyzing recent performances reveals Potapova's second serve success at 40.84%, slightly trailing Keys, who stands at 42.39%. Such statistics are integral to the precise prediction of match results. In return game stature, Potapova's performance of winning 50.49% on opponents’ second serve compares closely to Keys' 50%. The records for first serve returns are 31.18% for Potapova and 30.11% for Keys, further aiding the projection of the outcome in this particular head-to-head competition.

Examining match performance over the past year, Potapova boasts a win rate of 58.82% (30 wins, 21 losses), while Keys leads with an impressive 74% win rate (37 wins, 13 losses). Keys' superior overall win-loss record suggests a notable advantage going into this match. On favored surfaces, Potapova records a career win percentage of 67% on indoor hard courts, her strongest domain, while Keys excels on grass with a 72% victory rate. Potapova, however, has a lower performance on hard surfaces, at a 54% win rate, paralleling Keys' lesser success on indoor hard courts with a 53% win rate.

Playing under pressure, Potapova has successfully saved 54.81% of breakpoints, versus Keys’ 51.4% breakpoint save rate. This insight assists in live betting strategies when either contender faces pressure situations. The statistics reveal both players' capabilities under high-stakes settings, an essential factor for those analyzing potential match dynamics. Regarding direct confrontations, the head-to-head tally is evenly split with one victory each; intriguingly, both players have won two sets of the four played.

Keys has faced higher-ranked opponents, boasting an average opponent rank of 37.78, compared to Potapova’s 73.59, indicating Keys' experience against tougher competition. Deciding set performances indicate Potapova has a win percentage of 53% over the past year, whereas Keys has triumphed in 79% of such scenarios. Additionally, the present form depicts Potapova’s breakpoint conversion slightly better than Keys, at 39.13% compared to 38.14% when opportunities arise.

In summary, while Potapova exhibits powerful stats, particularly in breakpoint conversion and match under pressure, Keys’ overall statistics, including her higher win percentage and experience with elite opposition, signal an edge. Combining these metrics compels the prediction towards Keys as the anticipated victor in this matchup.

Madison Keys vs Anastasia Potapova Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs A. Potapova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won1
4Sets Won2
31Games Won22
11Aces (Total)6
7Total Double Faults14
1:16:25Avg. Match Time1:16:25
57% (95/167)1st Serve %54% (112/207)
67% (64/95)1st Serve Win %54% (61/112)
40% (29/72)2nd Serve Win %41% (39/95)
45% (15/33)Break Pts Won %42% (10/24)
49% (101/207)Return Pts Won %44% (74/167)
67% (2/3)Best‑of‑3 Win %33% (1/3)
100% (2/2)1st Set Won → Match Won100% (1/1)
0% (0/2)1st Set Won → Match Lost0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Lost → Match Won0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Keys 47%, Potapova 49%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Keys 54%, Potapova 55%.
Break Points Saved %: Keys 59%, Potapova 53%.

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R1

MEXR. Zarazua
L
6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R4

KAZE. Rybakina
L
6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

R3

JPNA. Ito
W
6-4 6-0

R2

GERE. Lys
W
1-6 6-3 7-6(1)
HardOmnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025

QF

DENC. Tauson
L
6-1 6-4

A. Potapova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R3

TURZ. Sonmez
W
6-3 7-5

R2

CANV. Mboko
W
7-6(5) 7-5

R1

CZEK. Siniakova
W
6-3 6-4
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R2

RUSM. Andreeva
L
6-1 6-3

R1

CHNL. Zhu
W
6-4 4-6 6-2
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M. Keys vs A. Potapova Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
64.47% (421/232)YTD Win/Loss58.54% (240/170)
62.39% (934/563)Sets Win/Loss55.85% (544/430)
54.70% (7680/6361)Games Win/Loss51.88% (4733/4390)
64.12% (252/141)Hard Win/Loss53.20% (108/95)
64.47% (98/54)Clay Win/Loss64.41% (76/42)
53.13% (17/15)Indoor Hard W/L66.13% (41/21)
71.05% (54/22)Grass Win/Loss55.56% (15/12)
0.42Aces Per Game0.19
2887Aces Total830
0.2Double Faults Per Game0.42
1397Total Double Faults1861
1:19:25Average Match Time1:36:17
347.43Average Opponent Rank289.88
63% (25438/40308)1st Serve %56% (16308/29109)
69% (17455/25438)1st Serve Win %64% (10367/16308)
48% (7145/14853)2nd Serve Win %45% (5784/12801)
44% (2116/4827)Break Points Won % (Total)46% (1718/3753)
43% (18047/41504)Return Points Win %46% (13443/29275)
70.86% (124/51)Slam W/L50.00% (25/25)
56.31% (116/90)Masters W/L50.00% (44/44)
44.44% (4/5)Cups W/L50.00% (1/1)
66.32% (126/64)Main Tour W/L62.11% (118/72)
64.91% (37/20)Challenger W/L63.49% (40/23)
87.50% (14/2)Futures W/L70.59% (12/5)
65% (417/641)Best of 3 Sets Win %59% (234/399)
25% (1/4)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (3/3)
58% (102/177)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)51% (57/111)
53% (104/196)Deciding Set Win %58% (92/159)
87% (425/369)1st Set Won, Won Match84% (221/185)
13% (425/55)1st Set Won, Lost Match16% (221/36)
22% (228/51)1st Set Lost, Won Match29% (189/55)

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