Madison Keys vs Cori Gauff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When looking at second serve performance in the last six months, Keys has a slight edge, winning 42.39% of points compared to Gauff's 38.77%. How can this impact the match outcome? Higher second serve success can provide a crucial advantage.
• In return games, Gauff shows a better form, capturing 52.95% of opponents' second serve points, surpassing Keys' 48.06%. This could be pivotal in their head-to-head matchup.
• Under pressure, Keys has proven more resilient, saving 53.45% of breakpoints, compared to Gauff's 46.49%, suggesting better performance in crucial moments.
• Over the last year, both have had impressive win rates, with Keys at 75% and Gauff slightly better at 75.36%. Which one is performing at a higher tournament level? Gauff has a better record at the Masters series, winning 73.68% of matches, indicating success against higher competition.
• Keys excels on grass with a win rate of 72%, while Gauff's strength is clay, also with a 72% win rate. Does either player have a surface advantage here? The surface is crucial for predicting performance.
• In their direct head-to-head, Keys has a slight advantage with three wins to Gauff's two. Interestingly, they are tied at six sets each, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
• Past matches show Keys performing better in deciding sets between the two, winning both that went the distance. This might suggest Keys can handle extreme pressure situations well.
• Gauff has been more effective at converting break points recently, with a 45% conversion rate compared to Keys' 35.35%. This could be decisive in tight games.

Editorial Prediction (June 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Madison Keys and Coco Gauff presents an exciting battle between two well-matched athletes. Keys has shown slightly stronger second serve performance and resilience under pressure, making her competitive in critical moments.

On the other hand, Gauff excels in return games and has shown impressive success on the Masters series circuit, which may give her the edge in high-stakes situations. Breakpoint conversion is another area where Gauff leads, showing her capability to capitalize on opponent weaknesses.

Considering the head-to-head record, Keys has a marginal advantage, particularly in deciding sets and extreme pressure situations, which could play a significant role if the match remains tight.

Taking all data into account, while both players have the potential to succeed, Madison Keys is slightly more favored to emerge victorious in this contest, owing to her adeptness in pressure situations and slightly superior head-to-head performance.