Maria Sakkari vs Elina Svitolina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the second serve performance over the past six months, Elina Svitolina has won 40.53% of points on her second serve, while Maria Sakkari has a slightly higher percentage at 40.66%. This statistic is closely correlated with predicting match outcomes. When comparing their return game statistics, Svitolina has won 50.61% of points on her opponent's second serve, whereas Sakkari has won 49.53% in the same context. The statistics for first serve returns are quite similar, with Svitolina at 29.83% and Sakkari at 29.71%, providing insight into who might be favored in their head-to-head matchups.

In terms of saving breakpoints, Svitolina has saved 47.88% in recent form, while Sakkari has managed to save a marginally higher 49.1%. These numbers are crucial for in-game betting predictions. Over the past year, Svitolina boasts a remarkable 70.37% match win rate with a win-loss record of 38/16. In contrast, Sakkari's win rate stands at 44.44%, with a 16/20 record. This gives a comprehensive overview of their head-to-head predictions.

Considering their best career surfaces, Svitolina excels on hard courts with a 68% win rate (W/L 292/138), while her performance on grass is weaker at 52% (W/L 26/24). Meanwhile, Sakkari's strongest surface is clay, with a 63% win rate (W/L 182/107), and she has a 57% win rate on grass (W/L 29/22). Additionally, Svitolina has predominantly played in Masters series events over the last year, winning 66.67% of her matches (W/L 14/7), whereas Sakkari has mostly competed on the main tour, achieving a 35.29% win rate (W/L 6/11). This implies that the event level they compete at is crucial for predicting the favorite.

The historical head-to-head record between these players shows an even split, with both winning twice in their four encounters. Svitolina has secured 5 of the total 11 sets played, while Sakkari has won 6. Their last match was at the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, where Svitolina triumphed with scores of 5-7, 6-3, 6-4. Notably, their matches have averaged 2 hours, 8 minutes, and 38 seconds in duration. Svitolina has better statistics in deciding sets, having won 2 out of 3 deciding set matches against Sakkari and meeting a 56% win rate in deciding sets over the last 12 months, whereas Sakkari's rate is 14%.

Historically, in matches under extreme pressure situations, they've competed in 2 tiebreaks, both won by Sakkari. Svitolina has faced tougher competition on average, her opponents having an average ranking of 66.3 over the last year, compared to Sakkari’s opponents at an average rank of 81.86. In terms of break point conversion, recent stats reveal Svitolina has converted 36.08% of her chances, while Sakkari has surpassed her with a conversion rate of 40.54%. This can significantly influence live betting scenarios when there is a breakpoint opportunity.

Based on the comprehensive analysis of these statistics, Svitolina appears to have a slight edge over Sakkari, considering her overall higher win rates and impressive record in deciding sets and under pressure situations. Therefore, Svitolina is predicted to win this upcoming match, although the close competition suggests an exciting and competitive match is on the horizon.