Matias Soto vs Miguel Tobon Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How has Matias Soto performed on his second serve recently? He has won 47.79% of his second serve points over the past six months, which is slightly better than Miguel Tobon's 44.07%.
• In return games, who holds the edge? While Matias Soto has a slight disadvantage in second serve returns with 46.21% compared to Tobon's 46.78%, he is slightly better in first serve returns with 26.73% compared to Tobon's 25.20%.
• What about under pressure? Matias Soto saves 53.27% of breakpoints he faces, marginally outperforming Miguel Tobon's 52.23%.
• Looking at match success over the past year, Matias Soto holds a higher win rate of 55.56% compared to Miguel Tobon's 53.66%.
• On which surface does Matias Soto excel the most? He has his best win rate of 61% on clay, while Miguel Tobon struggles on clay with a 41% win percentage, excelling instead on hard surfaces.
• In terms of tournament level exposure, Matias Soto has competed more in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K but has a lower winning percentage (44.68%) than Tobon, who wins 52.17% of such matches.
• What is their head-to-head record? Matias Soto has defeated Miguel Tobon in their only previous meeting, with a decisive 6-4 6-2 victory on clay at the Medellin Challenger.
• Does Matias Soto face stronger opponents? Yes, he competes against players with an average ranking of 366.38, compared to Miguel Tobon's average opponent ranking of 414.61.
• If this match goes to a deciding set, Matias Soto has a higher chance of success, having won 65% of such sets compared to Tobon's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

In this matchup, Matias Soto appears to hold a slight edge over Miguel Tobon. His superior second serve performance and slight advantages in breakpoint saving indicate a degree of resilience under pressure that could be crucial.

When considering their head-to-head record, Matias Soto's past victory against Tobon underscores his ability to secure wins against him on challenging surfaces, such as clay where he thrives.

Furthermore, Soto's ability to compete against higher-ranked opponents better reflects his experience at a competitive level, which could tilt the scales in his favor.

Overall, based on these facts, Matias Soto is most likely to emerge as the winner in this upcoming tennis match.