Mia Ristic vs Ekaterina Perelygina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance shows Perelygina and Ristic are nearly identical, with Perelygina at 36.81% and Ristic at 36.9% over the past 6 months. Could this similarity indicate a closely contested match?
• In terms of return game stats, Perelygina has a slight edge, winning more second serve points (52.25%) compared to Ristic (49.12%). Additionally, Perelygina outperforms on first serve returns with 39.22% as opposed to Ristic’s 33.82%.
• When under pressure, Ristic excels with a breakpoint saving percentage of 48.82%, substantially higher than Perelygina’s 34.52%. Can this ability to handle pressure sway the match in favor of Ristic?
• Overall performance in the past year favors Perelygina, who has a win rate of 62.16% against Ristic’s 56.16%. Does this give Perelygina a more consistent winning edge?
• Both players have their best surface success on Hard courts, with Perelygina having a 69% win rate and Ristic close behind at 68%.
• Considering the level of competition, Perelygina has played mostly at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, winning 66.67%. Conversely, Ristic has encountered higher-ranked competition in Challengers/ITF > $10K events with a 56.06% win rate.
• Opponent quality varies, as Perelygina faced those averaging rank 562.7, while Ristic competed against better-ranked players at 332.03.
• In deciding sets, Perelygina demonstrates superior performance, winning 71% of these matches versus Ristic’s 46% success rate. Does this suggest Perelygina’s resilience in critical moments?
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Perelygina has turned 45% of opportunities into breaks, slightly outperforming Ristic's 42.77%.

Editorial Prediction (June 5, 2025, UTC):

As both players approach their upcoming match, several statistics highlight each player's unique strengths and potential areas of advantage. Ristic has shown increased resilience under pressure, significantly surpassing Perelygina's breakpoint saving performance. However, Perelygina appears to have a more consistent winning record over the past year and excels in winning deciding sets, which could prove crucial if the match becomes tightly contested.

Perelygina's edge in first and second serve returns, as well as her relatively high breakpoint conversion rate, might provide the opportunities needed to gain an advantage during the match. Although Ristic faces higher-ranked opponents more frequently, suggesting a potentially stronger competitive edge, the difference in Perelygina's ability to close when matches reach a critical point may tip the scale in her favor.

Analyzing the statistical data, Perelygina seems to hold significant advantages in key areas that could help her secure the victory. Therefore, based on current trends and performance metrics, Perelygina is the likely candidate to win this upcoming tennis match.