Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

As we look to predict the outcome of this intriguing tennis matchup, let's delve into some revealing statistics. Sabalenka and Andreeva's performance on their second serves is closely matched, with Andreeva slightly edging out Sabalenka by winning 42.86% of her points compared to Sabalenka's 40.07% over the last six months. Does this marginal lead offer a glimpse into Andreeva's advantage, or could Sabalenka's ability to win 51.2% of her opponent's second serve points swing the prediction in her favor?

The battle between these titans takes an interesting turn when examining their return game stats. In recent months, Sabalenka has shown a noticeable edge by claiming 51.2% of her opponent's second serve points—trumping Andreeva's 48.83%. Their first serve return statistics, however, present an intriguing parity, with Andreeva at 30.09% and Sabalenka slightly behind at 29.68%. Will this seemingly minor difference become significant in determining the day's victor?

Under pressure, Sabalenka's composed nature shines as she saves 48.82% of breakpoints, narrowly surpassing Andreeva's 44.95%. Considering both players' overall season performance, Sabalenka has won 81.08% of matches played over the last year, outperforming Andreeva’s commendable 75.41% win rate. With this edge in sustained performance, could Sabalenka be the one to watch in their head-to-head encounters?

When it comes to preferred surfaces, each player has their domain. Sabalenka thrives on hard courts with a 73% win rate, while Andreeva dominates clay with 81%. Could the surface of this match tilt the balance, or will previous experiences on various surfaces guide the outcome?

Diving into their head-to-head record, Sabalenka leads by a substantial margin. She has triumphed in 4 out of their 5 clashes, winning 9 out of the 11 sets played. The last match resulted in a decisive victory for Sabalenka. Will her past dominance exert psychological pressure, or is there room for Andreeva to turn the tables?

As it stands, Sabalenka's ability to outperform Andreeva in their direct encounters, coupled with her proficiency against higher-ranked opponents, provides her with a strategic edge. Despite Andreeva's resilience evidenced by a better record in deciding sets—winning 68% compared to Sabalenka's 59%—the overwhelming evidence of form and historical performance suggests that Sabalenka is poised to clinch victory in this encounter.