Naomi Osaka vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

N. Osaka vs M. Keys

Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka

Flag JPN JPN

w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
w
w
Madison Keys
Madison Keys

Flag USA USA

w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l

1

Win

4

Played

3

Win

28
Age
30
1.80m
Height
1.78m
16
C. Rank
8
1
Best Rank
5
7
Total Titles
11
0
YTD Titles
2
$24.1M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Osaka 1 - 3 Keys

They have played 9 sets in total, with Naomi Osaka winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 6. The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Osaka1
Keys3
Last 4 H2H Matches:

(SFU.S. Open - New York(09-06-18)

Hard
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
6
6
USA Flag
Madison Keys
2
4

(R3French Open - Paris(06-01-18)

Clay
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
7
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
1
6

(R3BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-13-17)

Hard
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
6
JPN Flag
Naomi Osaka
1
4

N. Osaka vs M. Keys H2H Profile

Stats
$24,149,734Career Prize Money$20,819,148
64.46% (341-188)Career Total W/L64.47% (421-232)
0Clay1
1Hard2
8Titles14
1Total H2H Matches3
66.67% (30-15)YTD Win/Loss74.00% (37-13)
0YTD Titles2

N. Osaka vs M. Keys Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Naomi Osaka has won 42.05% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 41.30%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Naomi Osaka, in recent form, has won 51.30% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.15%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.26% and 30.42% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Naomi Osaka has saved 42.09% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Naomi Osaka has won 70.00% of matches played (W/L 35/15), with Madison Keys winning 74.00% (W/L 37/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Naomi Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 233/115), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Naomi Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.00% of matches (W/L 13/7), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.00% of matches (W/L 14/6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Naomi Osaka winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 3 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Naomi Osaka winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 6.
  • The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Naomi Osaka has played against opponents with an average rank of 94.52 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 48.5.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Naomi Osaka has won 59% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Naomi Osaka has converted 36.00% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 36.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Naomi Osaka vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

N. Osaka vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won3
3Sets Won6
41Games Won49
9Aces (Total)20
12Total Double Faults9
1:28:31Average Match Time1:28:31
61% (189/308)1st Serve %64% (176/275)
65% (122/189)1st Serve Win %76% (133/176)
48% (57/119)2nd Serve Win %44% (44/99)
50% (9/18)Break Pts Won %34% (11/32)
36% (98/275)Return Points Win %42% (129/308)
25% (1/4)Best‑of‑3 Win %75% (3/4)
0% (0/1)Deciding Set Win %100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (3/3)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/3)
0% (0/3)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Osaka 49%, Keys 47%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Osaka 55%, Keys 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Osaka 59%, Keys 59%.

N. Osaka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardJapan Open - Osaka - 13-10-2025

QF

ROUJ. Cristian
L
w/o

R2

NEDS. Lamens
W
7-6(6) 3-6 6-2

R1

JPNW. Sonobe
W
6-0 6-4
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

R2

CZEL. Noskova
L
7-6(2) 6-3

R1

CANL. Annie
W
4-6 7-5 6-3

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R1

MEXR. Zarazua
L
6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R4

KAZE. Rybakina
L
6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

R3

JPNA. Ito
W
6-4 6-0

R2

GERE. Lys
W
1-6 6-3 7-6(1)
HardOmnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025

QF

DENC. Tauson
L
6-1 6-4
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N. Osaka vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
64.46% (341/188)YTD Win/Loss64.47% (421/232)
61.06% (740/472)Sets Win/Loss62.39% (934/563)
54.72% (6143/5084)Games Win/Loss54.70% (7680/6361)
66.95% (233/115)Hard Win/Loss64.12% (252/141)
60.00% (66/44)Clay Win/Loss64.47% (98/54)
66.67% (18/9)Indoor Hard W/L53.13% (17/15)
54.55% (24/20)Grass Win/Loss71.05% (54/22)
0.43Aces Per Game0.42
2348Aces Total2887
0.18Double Faults Per Game0.2
998Total Double Faults1397
1:9:32Average Match Time1:19:25
372.5Average Opponent Rank350.38
56% (15317/27213)1st Serve %63% (25438/40308)
72% (10996/15317)1st Serve Win %69% (17455/25438)
48% (5753/11895)2nd Serve Win %48% (7145/14853)
46% (1395/3045)Break Points Won % (Total)44% (2116/4827)
43% (11585/27178)Return Points Win %43% (18047/41504)
72.28% (73/28)Slam W/L70.86% (124/51)
62.76% (91/54)Masters W/L56.31% (116/90)
75.00% (6/2)Cups W/L44.44% (4/5)
59.29% (83/57)Main Tour W/L66.32% (126/64)
65.79% (75/39)Challenger W/L64.91% (37/20)
61.90% (13/8)Futures W/L87.50% (14/2)
65% (338/517)Best of 3 Sets Win %65% (417/641)
0% (0/2)Best of 5 Sets Win %25% (1/4)
53% (65/122)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)58% (102/177)
64% (104/162)Deciding Set Win %53% (104/196)
90% (319/287)1st Set Won, Won Match87% (425/369)
10% (319/31)1st Set Won, Lost Match13% (425/55)
26% (210/55)1st Set Lost, Won Match22% (228/51)

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