Nicolas Jarry vs Timofey Skatov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance over the past six months, Nicolas Jarry is slightly ahead, winning 47.37% of points compared to Timofey Skatov's 45.68%. Is a strong second serve crucial? Often, yes.
• Return game stats reveal that Timofey Skatov outperforms by winning 47.83% of opponents' second serve points, while Nicolas Jarry wins 42.06%.
• For first serve returns, Skatov maintains an edge with 27.72% compared to Jarry’s 22.77%. Could this be decisive? Potentially for breaking serves.
• Under pressure, Nicolas Jarry has saved 65.24% of breakpoints recently, showing resilience, while Skatov saves 52.94%.
• Over the last year, Skatov has been more successful with a 50% match win rate versus Jarry's 41.86%.
• Both players excel on clay with a 64% win rate; however, Skatov struggles more on indoor hard courts, winning 26% compared to Jarry's 34%.
• Nicolas Jarry primarily competes in the Main tour, achieving a 31.58% win rate, whereas Skatov focuses on Challenger/ITF tournaments, with a 52.17% win rate. Could the level of competition faced by Jarry give him an advantage? Possibly.
• Their head-to-head record favors Jarry, who has won their only match and two out of three sets.
• Jarry has competed against higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 113.4, compared to Skatov's 327.78.
• In deciding sets over the last year, Skatov has a slightly higher win percentage at 44% versus Jarry’s 39%.

Editorial Prediction (October 14, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance trends and player strengths, Nicolas Jarry shows a slight edge in serving under pressure and competing against higher-level opponents, which can be pivotal in decisive matches.

Timofey Skatov's return game has been impressive, which could give him opportunities to exert pressure by breaking Jarry’s serve. However, Jarry’s ability to save breakpoints effectively might offset this advantage.

Considering their head-to-head record and Jarry’s exposure to stronger competition in the past year, he is considered the slight favorite. Nevertheless, if Skatov can capitalize on his superior return stats, the match could swing in his favor.

Taking into account all factors, Nicolas Jarry is a marginal favorite to win this upcoming match, but Timofey Skatov's strengths could make it a closely contested battle.