Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Dali Blanch Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Pablo Carreno-Busta has a slightly lower recent second serve point win rate (43.77%) compared to Dali Blanch (45.91%). Could this indicate a vulnerability for Carreno-Busta? More likely, as second serve performance often affects match outcomes.
• In terms of returning games, Dali Blanch has a marginal edge, winning 46.77% of points on the opponent's second serve, while Carreno-Busta tallies at 45.69%. Similarly, Blanch outdoes Carreno-Busta on first serve return points with 29.03% versus 26.37%.
• Under pressure, Pablo Carreno-Busta fares better, saving 56.30% of breakpoints compared to Blanch's 51.65%, an advantage in critical game moments.
• While Carreno-Busta has won 54.24% of his matches in the last year, Dali Blanch shows a stronger overall win rate at 60.00%. Who has the momentum here? Possibly Blanch due to his higher win percentage.
• Both players are strongest on clay with identical win records of 66%, but Blanch has an unremarkable record on I.hard surfaces, having lost his only match, while Carreno-Busta struggles more on grass (30% win rate).
• The level of competition faced is significantly higher for Carreno-Busta, who has competed against players averaging a rank of 172.42, whereas Blanch's opponents have an average rank of 410.95.
• Pablo Carreno-Busta has more experience at higher level tournaments and a better win rate in these scenarios (71.43%) compared to Blanch's 56.25% in lower-tier events.
• In matches that go to a deciding set, Dali Blanch appears somewhat more resilient, winning 48% compared to Carreno-Busta’s 35%. Does this suggest better stamina or mental fortitude for Blanch in tight matches? Quite possibly.

Editorial Prediction (September 30, 2025, UTC):

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Dali Blanch exhibit varied strengths heading into their match, with Carreno-Busta displaying superior performance under pressure and against higher-ranked opponents. Despite this, Blanch has a slight edge in serving and returning statistics, which are crucial in determining match outcomes.

Blanch's higher overall win rate over the past year also signals a stronger recent form. However, Carreno-Busta's exposure to more competitive fields gives him a seasoned edge.

If the match extends to a deciding set, Blanch might have the upper hand given his better record. Nonetheless, Carreno-Busta's experience at higher-level competitions could be decisive.

Assessing these factors, Pablo Carreno-Busta is slightly favored to win due to his higher-level experience and pressure-handling skills, although a competitive match is anticipated.