Peyton Stearns vs Darja Semenistaja Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When it comes to second serve performance over the past six months, Semenistaja holds a slight edge with a 39.91% success rate compared to Stearns' 38.34%. Does this small difference impact match outcomes? It certainly can, given its high correlation with match predictions.
• Looking at return game stats, Stearns narrowly outperforms Semenistaja on second serve returns, winning 51.63% of points compared to Semenistaja's 51.52%. However, for first serve returns, Semenistaja leads with 37.26% while Stearns has 32.59%, indicating Semenistaja's stronger return game.
• Under pressure, Stearns shows better resilience, saving 50% of breakpoints, compared to Semenistaja's 43.74%, which may be crucial in high-stake moments of the match.
• Evaluating match performance over the last year, Semenistaja has a higher win percentage of 59.04% compared to Stearns' 50%. This suggests a more consistent winning pattern for Semenistaja.
• Semenistaja's preferred surface is Hard, with a career win percentage of 65%, while Stearns excels on Indoor Hard courts with a 68% win rate. How might their favored surfaces influence the match? The surface type will likely give each player a competitive advantage under different conditions.
• In the past year, Semenistaja mostly competed in Challenger/ITF circuits, winning 60.87% of matches, whereas Stearns has been more active in the Masters series, securing victories in 62.5% of matches. Does exposure to higher-level competition give Stearns an edge? It could, depending on the experience required for this match level.
• Regarding opponent quality, Stearns has faced higher-ranked players on average (83.5) compared to Semenistaja (209.76), which may provide Stearns with valuable competitive insights.
• In matches that go to a deciding set, Semenistaja has a slightly better track record, winning 63% compared to Stearns' 57%. This could be pivotal in tight matches.
• For break point conversion, Semenistaja shows superior performance with a 44.34% conversion rate, while Stearns converts at 33.91%, indicating Semenistaja's advantage in capitalizing on opponent weaknesses.

Editorial Prediction (August 25, 2025, UTC):

Semenistaja demonstrates a slight edge in several key areas, particularly in first serve returns and break point conversions, suggesting she possesses the skills necessary to seize opportunities and induce pressure on her opponent.

On the other hand, Stearns has faced tougher competition and shows resilience under pressure, making her a strong contender in critical moments of the match. Nonetheless, Semenistaja's overall higher win rate and competitive stats across various aspects make her a formidable opponent.

Considering the current statistics and performance patterns, Semenistaja appears to have a marginal advantage going into this match. Therefore, based on the present data, Semenistaja is likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming tennis encounter.