Peyton Stearns vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How effective is each player's second serve in recent form? Stearns has a second serve win rate of 39.04%, while Keys has a slightly higher rate at 42.89%.
• In return games, Stearns excels by winning 52.61% of her opponent's second serve points compared to Keys' 48.45%. On first serve returns, both are nearly identical, with Stearns at 31.35% and Keys at 31.44%.
• Both players have similar ability to handle pressure, with Stearns saving 50.97% of breakpoints and Keys a slightly better 51.62%.
• Considering the last year's performance, Stearns has a match win rate of 58.93%, while Keys leads with 75.93%.
• Stearns' favored surface is indoor hard, winning 68% of matches, whereas Keys excels on grass with a 72% win rate.
• In terms of competition level, Stearns has played primarily on the Main tour with a 56.52% win rate, while Keys has competed mostly in the Masters series, achieving a 66.67% success rate.
• In their only head-to-head matchup, Stearns holds the victory. The match duration averaged 1:44:21, but without any deciding sets or tiebreaks.
• Stearns usually faces lower-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 107.82, while Keys' average opponent ranks at 40.5.
• Who performs better in deciding sets? In the past year, Stearns has a 65% win rate, whereas Keys has a better 79% success rate.
• Both players show similar proficiency in converting breakpoints, with Stearns at 36.31% and Keys slightly higher at 37.08%.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance patterns, Keys has a slight edge on second serve performance, which could prove crucial in a tight match. Her consistency under pressure is also noteworthy, though only marginally better than Stearns.

When comparing their competitive environments, Keys' experience against higher-ranked opponents could provide an invaluable edge in adapting to different styles of play.

Despite Stearns' previous head-to-head win, the overall statistics suggest Keys has been more consistent, especially in tournament settings. Given these insights, Maddison Keys is the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.