Polona Hercog vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance impact match predictions? Ovcharenko holds a significant edge with 40.38% of second serve points won in recent form, compared to Hercog's 30.43%.
• When evaluating return game strength, Ovcharenko again leads by winning 49.51% of opponents' second serve points and 31.8% of first serve returns, whereas Hercog secures 39.13% and 21.43%, respectively.
• How do they perform under pressure? Ovcharenko has saved 43.98% of breakpoints, offering a stronger resistance than Hercog’s 33.33% in recent form.
• Does recent overall performance provide clarity? Ovcharenko shows dominance with a 56.72% match-winning rate over the last year, contrasting sharply with Hercog's 0% win rate.
• Surface preferences differ between the players; Hercog thrives on Clay with a 68% career win rate, while Ovcharenko excels on Indoor Hard with 55% win rate.
• In terms of competitive level over the last year, Hercog has struggled with 0% success in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, whereas Ovcharenko achieves 57.38% success.
• Opponent quality assessment reveals Hercog facing tougher opponents with an average rank of 139, compared to Ovcharenko’s opponents averaging rank 371.18.
• What happens when matches reach deciding sets? Ovcharenko performs remarkably well, winning 65% of deciding sets compared to Hercog’s 0%.
• Is breakpoint conversion a deciding factor? Ovcharenko outperforms with a 36.93% conversion rate, while Hercog has not converted any opportunities recently.

Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the players' performances over recent months, Ovcharenko displays a clear advantage in key areas such as second serve efficiency and return game strength. Remarkably, Ovcharenko has shown a consistent ability to save breakpoints and capitalize on opponent errors.

While Hercog shows historical competence on their favored clay surface, they have been unable to translate this into success in recent high-stakes situations or against lower-ranked opponents.

Factors such as breakpoint conversion and performance under pressure position Ovcharenko as the likely favorite for the upcoming match. Considering these statistics and trends, Ovcharenko is predicted to win the match.