Polona Hercog vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
P. Hercog vs M. Keys

Polona Hercog

SLO

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.85m

Height

1.78m

775

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$2.4M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.85m

Height

1.78m

775

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$2.4M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-To-Head: Hercog 1 - 1 Keys

They have played 4 sets in total, with Polona Hercog winning 2 and Madison Keys winning 2. The last match between Polona Hercog and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Hercog	1
Keys	1

Last H2H Matches:

(R2) Wimbledon - London(07-03-19)

Stats

Polona Hercog

Madison Keys

(R1) Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-13-19)

Stats

Madison Keys

Polona Hercog

P. Hercog vs M. Keys H2H Profile

P. Hercog	Stats	M. Keys
$2,443,410	Career Prize Money	$20,819,148
57.78% (479-350)	Career Total W/L	64.47% (421-232)
0	Clay	1
1	Grass	0
22	Titles	14
1	Total H2H Matches	1
0% (0-0)	YTD Win/Loss	74.00% (37-13)
0	YTD Titles	2

P. Hercog vs M. Keys Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Polona Hercog has won 41.62% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 42.39%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Polona Hercog, in recent form, has won 50.00% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 48.99%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.82% and 30.21% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Polona Hercog has saved 41.18% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.38% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Polona Hercog has won 42.86% of matches played (W/L 3/ 4), with Madison Keys winning 71.70% (W/L 3/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Polona Hercog has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 317/ 149), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 44% (W/L 114/ 144). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/ 22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
Player level: In the last year, Polona Hercog has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 60.00% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.22% of matches (W/L 15/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Polona Hercog winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Polona Hercog winning 2 and Madison Keys winning 2. The last match between Polona Hercog and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:24:40.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Polona Hercog has played against opponents with an average rank of 306.29 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 117.55.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Polona Hercog has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Polona Hercog has converted 41.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 35.71% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Polona Hercog vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

P. Hercog vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

P. Hercog	Stats	M. Keys
1	H2H Matches Won	1
2	Sets Won	2
22	Games Won	19
1	Aces (Total)	8
6	Total Double Faults	6
1:24:40	Avg. Match Time	1:24:40
64% (87/135)	1st Serve %	60% (73/122)
60% (52/87)	1st Serve Win %	70% (51/73)
56% (27/48)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (23/49)
46% (6/13)	Break Pts Won %	29% (4/14)
39% (48/122)	Return Pts Won %	41% (56/135)
50% (1/2)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	50% (1/2)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won → Match Won	100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

P. Hercog Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
Q1 Tessah AndrianjafitrimoT. Andrianjafitrimo	L	5-7 6-2 6-4	Stats
W50 Ourense - 04-08-2025
SF Polina IatcenkoP. Iatcenko	L	6-4 6-1	Stats
QF Vendula ValdmannovaV. Valdmannova	W	6-2 7-6(2)	Stats
R2 Lina GlushkoL. Glushko	W	6-3 6-1	Stats
R1 Ekaterina OvcharenkoE. Ovcharenko	W	6-7(7) 6-2 6-4	Stats

View All

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

P. Hercog vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

P. Hercog	Stats	M. Keys
57.84% (476/347)	YTD Win/Loss	64.47% (421/232)
56.28% (1057/821)	Sets Win/Loss	62.39% (934/563)
52.60% (9026/8134)	Games Win/Loss	54.70% (7680/6361)
44.19% (114/144)	Hard Win/Loss	64.12% (252/141)
68.03% (317/149)	Clay Win/Loss	64.47% (98/54)
44.00% (22/28)	Indoor Hard W/L	53.13% (17/15)
46.94% (23/26)	Grass Win/Loss	71.05% (54/22)
0.21	Aces Per Game	0.42
1776	Aces Total	2887
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.2
2088	Total Double Faults	1397
1:11:29	Average Match Time	1:19:25
473.89	Average Opponent Rank	96.35
60% (26720/44537)	1st Serve %	63% (25438/40308)
65% (17278/26720)	1st Serve Win %	69% (17455/25438)
47% (8456/17812)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (7145/14853)
48% (2441/5126)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (2116/4827)
43% (19554/45018)	Return Points Win %	43% (18047/41504)
40.22% (37/55)	Slam W/L	70.86% (124/51)
51.94% (67/62)	Masters W/L	56.31% (116/90)
53.85% (7/6)	Cups W/L	44.44% (4/5)
51.54% (151/142)	Main Tour W/L	66.32% (126/64)
70.99% (186/76)	Challenger W/L	64.91% (37/20)
82.35% (28/6)	Futures W/L	87.50% (14/2)
58% (465/808)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (417/641)
100% (2/2)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	25% (1/4)
52% (89/170)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (102/177)
53% (129/243)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (104/196)
86% (470/402)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (425/369)
14% (470/65)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (425/55)
20% (353/71)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (228/51)