Qinwen Zheng vs Emiliana Arango Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Qinwen Zheng has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 41.19% of points, compared to Emiliana Arango's 37.59% in the past six months. Could this offer Zheng an edge? Likely yes, given the correlation with match prediction accuracy.
• In terms of return game, Zheng also edges out Arango on second serve returns, winning 53.17% compared to Arango's 52.74%. However, Arango has a higher win rate on first serve returns at 36.82% against Zheng's 29.53%.
• Under pressure, Arango has been more effective in saving breakpoints at 48.48%, while Zheng has a 47.06% success rate in recent form.
• Yearly performance shows Zheng with a 69.39% win rate over the past year, significantly higher than Arango's 53.13%.
• Both players perform best on clay, with Zheng having a higher win percentage at 76% versus Arango's 59%. Grass appears to be a weaker surface for both players, but Zheng's win rate on it is lower than Arango's.
• Zheng plays predominantly at the Masters level, winning 67.74% of matches, whereas Arango has primarily played in Challengers/ITF, with a 59.26% win rate. Does the event level affect their performance comparison? Yes, it reflects varying competition levels.
• Direct head-to-head encounters favor Zheng, who has won all previous matches against Arango, including a recent straight-sets victory on clay.
• In terms of opponent quality, Zheng regularly competes against higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 53.27 compared to Arango's 174.97.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Zheng is more successful with a 60% win rate, while Arango has a 50% win rate in such scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (September 26, 2025, UTC):

In the upcoming tennis match, various performance metrics indicate a probable edge for Qinwen Zheng. Her superior second serve performance, coupled with effective return games, suggests a strong ability to control points.

Though Emiliana Arango shows resilience under pressure and a better return on first serves, Zheng's broader yearly success rate and higher competition level significantly tilt the scales in her favor.

Past encounters between these players also clearly favor Zheng, who has consistently dominated the head-to-head match-ups. In addition, her notable success on their favored clay surface further solidifies her position.

Considering these factors, Qinwen Zheng is the most likely winner of this match.