Rafael Nadal vs Casper Ruud Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Ruud analysis and find out who is favored!
Rafael Nadal vs Casper Ruud Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Ruud has won 54.05%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.54% of his opponent's second serve points, while Ruud has won 49.24%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.84% and 30.21% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.56% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ruud has saved 69.61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 3/ 2), with Ruud winning 71.43% (W/L 55/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 224/ 99), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/ 7).
- Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Ruud has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 27/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Nadal winning 2 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Nadal winning 5 and Ruud winning 0. The last match between Nadal and Ruud was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 17-11-2022, Robin, I.hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:21.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Ruud have played a deciding set 0 times, with Nadal winning 0 times and Ruud 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 0, and Ruud 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.2 while Ruud has played against players with an average rank of 144.23.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ruud has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 42.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ruud has converted 38.97% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Nadal 2 - 0 Ruud
94
Total
36
Mast
2
Chall
22
Slam
33
Main
0
Minor
512
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
2
Total0
0
Hard0
1
Clay0
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
6
Rank
2
High
25
Age
R
Plays
14
Total
0
Mast
1
Chall
0
Slam
11
Main
2
Minor
Form
82% (1115-238)
Career Total W/L
65% (386-205)
60% (3-2)
YTD W/L
81% (29-7)
$96,415,145
Career Prize Money
$10,447,350
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Rafael Nadal | Casper Ruud |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 2 | 0 |
Sets Won | 5 | 0 |
Games Won | 32 | 16 |
Aces (Total) | 17 | 4 |
DFs (Total) | 4 | 1 |
Avg Match Time | 2:0:21 | 2:0:21 |
1st Serve % | 66% (80/122) | 66% (97/146) |
1st Serve Win% | 88% (70/80) | 62% (60/97) |
2nd Serve Win% | 52% (22/42) | 39% (19/49) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 53% (10/19) | 40% (2/5) |
Return Points W% | 46% (67/146) | 25% (30/122) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (2/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-5 7-5 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
||||
6-3 6-3 6-0 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve %
64%
(
51 of
80)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
82%
(
32 of
39)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
27 of
51)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
9 of
29)
50%
(
8 of
16)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
31%
(
19 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
44 of
80)
86
Total Points Won
55
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Rafael Nadal | Casper Ruud |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 60% (3/2) | 81% (29/7) |
Sets Win/Loss | 64% (7/4) | 72% (63/24) |
Games Win/Loss | 57% (59/45) | 57% (475/352) |
Hard Win/Loss | 67% (2/1) | 77% (17/5) |
Clay Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 85% (11/2) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.28 | 0.45 |
Aces Total | 14 | 183 |
DFs per game | 0.2 | 0.14 |
DFs Total | 10 | 57 |
Avg Match Time | 1:55:33 | 1:47:31 |
Avg Opp Rank | 106.2 | 125.06 |
1st Serve % | 69% (222/322) | 65% (1649/2523) |
1st Serve W% | 74% (164/222) | 75% (1238/1649) |
2nd Serve W% | 52% (52/100) | 55% (479/874) |
BPs Won% Total | 42% (14/33) | 40% (100/251) |
Return Pts W% | 39% (125/318) | 38% (954/2521) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
Masters W/L | 0% (0/0) | 75% (9/3) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 60% (3/2) | 85% (17/3) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 60% (3/5) | 82% (27/33) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/3) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 58% (7/12) |
Deciding Set W% | 0% (0/1) | 80% (8/10) |
1st set W, W | 75% (4/3) | 100% (26/26) |
1st set W, L | 25% (4/1) | 0% (26/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 30% (10/3) |
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H |
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Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
F |
Casper Ruud
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
80%
(
45 of
56)
1st Serve %
57%
(
35 of
61)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
22 of
35)
64%
(
7 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
13 of
26)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
25%
(
14 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
26 of
61)
68
Total Points Won
49
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
SF |
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
59%
(
42 of
71)
1st Serve %
64%
(
41 of
64)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
79%
(
33 of
42)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
30 of
41)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
32%
(
23 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
22 of
64)
70
Total Points Won
65
|
7-6(6) 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75%
(
50 of
67)
1st Serve %
53%
(
27 of
51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60%
(
30 of
50)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
15 of
27)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Casper Ruud
Player
Jordan Thompson
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve %
54%
(
27 of
50)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
81%
(
26 of
32)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
18 of
27)
85%
(
11 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
8 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
22 of
50)
59
Total Points Won
36
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Casper Ruud
Player
Alexandre Muller
54%
(
30 of
56)
1st Serve %
57%
(
40 of
70)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
73%
(
22 of
30)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
19 of
40)
46%
(
12 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
39%
(
22 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
37 of
70)
71
Total Points Won
55
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
F |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Casper Ruud
48%
(
35 of
73)
1st Serve %
65%
(
36 of
55)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
60%
(
21 of
35)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
24 of
36)
68%
(
26 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
8)
36%
(
26 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
24 of
55)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
SF |
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56%
(
44 of
78)
1st Serve %
58%
(
46 of
79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64%
(
28 of
44)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
80%
(
4 of
5)
44%
(
34 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
29 of
79)
73
Total Points Won
84
|
6-4 1-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Casper Ruud
Player
Ugo Humbert
58%
(
45 of
78)
1st Serve %
70%
(
55 of
79)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
31 of
55)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
35%
(
27 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
86
Total Points Won
71
|
6-3 4-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Casper Ruud
Player
Hubert Hurkacz
61%
(
30 of
49)
1st Serve %
59%
(
37 of
63)
2
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
1
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
24 of
37)
79%
(
15 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
12 of
26)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
47
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Casper Ruud
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
81%
(
29 of
36)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
26%
(
14 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
32 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H |
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