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Rafael Nadal vs Fabio Fognini Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Fognini analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Fabio Fognini Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Fognini has won 48.29%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.54% of his opponent's second serve points, while Fognini has won 53.22%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.84% and 32.25% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.56% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Fognini has saved 58.43% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 3/ 2), with Fognini winning 61.02% (W/L 36/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Fognini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 450/ 267), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 43% (W/L 43/ 58).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Fognini has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 64.86% of matches (W/L 24/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 18 times before with Nadal winning 14 times. They have played 48 sets in total, with Nadal winning 34 and Fognini winning 14. The last match between Nadal and Fognini was at the U.S. Open - New York, 01-09-2022, Second, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:20.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Fognini have played a deciding set 6 times, with Nadal winning 4 times and Fognini 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 3, and Fognini 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.2 while Fognini has played against players with an average rank of 183.59.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Fognini has won 64% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 42.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Fognini has converted 45.04% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Nadal 14 - 4 Fognini

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

14

Total

4

8

Hard

1

6

Clay

3

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

95

Rank

9

High

36

Age

R

Plays

Fabio Fognini

19

Total

1

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

3

Minor

14

Total

4

8

Hard

1

6

Clay

3

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L L W L W W L W L

Form

L W L W W W W L W L

82% (1115-238)

Career Total W/L

57% (662-502)

60% (3-2)

YTD W/L

56% (10-8)

$96,415,145

Career Prize Money

$10,482,048

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Fognini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Fabio Fognini
All H2H Matches 14 4
Sets Won 34 14
Games Won 258 189
Aces (Total) 61 47
DFs (Total) 32 52
Avg Match Time 2:5:20 2:5:20
1st Serve % 68% (945/1380) 62% (970/1562)
1st Serve Win% 68% (641/945) 61% (588/970)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (221/435) 44% (258/592)
BPs Won% (Total) 43% (89/208) 45% (58/130)
Return Points W% 46% (716/1562) 38% (518/1380)
Best of 3 Sets W% 79% (11/14) 21% (3/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
TBs Win% (Total) 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (4/6) 33% (2/6)
1st set W, W 83% (12/10) 33% (6/2)
1st set W, L 17% (12/2) 67% (6/4)
1st set L, W 67% (6/4) 17% (12/2)

Nadal VS Fognini H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
61% ( 53 of 87)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 99)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
9
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 32 of 61)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
40% ( 35 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 53 of 99)
105
Total Points Won
81
6-3 6-4 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
56% ( 56 of 100)
6
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 36 of 56)
69% ( 20 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
32% ( 6 of 19)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
26% ( 19 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 46 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
73
2-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
57% ( 40 of 70)
1st Serve %
70% ( 47 of 67)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
88% ( 35 of 40)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
37% ( 11 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 24 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 67)
76
Total Points Won
61
6-4 6-2
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Rafael Nadal
48% ( 24 of 50)
1st Serve %
69% ( 41 of 59)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
63% ( 15 of 24)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 18 of 41)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
42% ( 21 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 34 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
46
4-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
62% ( 46 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 54 of 82)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 33 of 54)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 23 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 39 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
66
6-3 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
78% ( 36 of 46)
1st Serve %
56% ( 24 of 43)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
54
Total Points Won
35
7-6(3) 3-6 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
63% ( 77 of 122)
1st Serve %
68% ( 76 of 111)
5
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 50 of 76)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
39% ( 48 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 46 of 111)
120
Total Points Won
113
6-1 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 76)
6
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 11 of 34)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 9 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 35 of 76)
76
Total Points Won
50
6-2 7-6(1)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
80% ( 52 of 65)
1st Serve %
69% ( 57 of 83)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 33 of 57)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
38% ( 25 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 42 of 83)
82
Total Points Won
66
7-5 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
74% ( 54 of 73)
1st Serve %
58% ( 45 of 78)
3
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
81
Total Points Won
70
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Fabio Fognini
YTD W/L 60% (3/2) 56% (10/8)
Sets Win/Loss 64% (7/4) 50% (24/24)
Games Win/Loss 57% (59/45) 51% (227/222)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 44% (4/5)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 67% (6/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.28 0.24
Aces Total 14 52
DFs per game 0.2 0.36
DFs Total 10 80
Avg Match Time 1:55:33 1:54:11
Avg Opp Rank 106.2 210.06
1st Serve % 69% (222/322) 62% (861/1399)
1st Serve W% 74% (164/222) 66% (572/861)
2nd Serve W% 52% (52/100) 47% (252/538)
BPs Won% Total 42% (14/33) 47% (71/152)
Return Pts W% 39% (125/318) 41% (588/1427)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 67% (4/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (5/5)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 60% (3/5) 56% (10/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 29% (2/7)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 67% (8/12)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 71% (7/5)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 29% (7/2)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 45% (11/5)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H

Fabio Fognini Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Stefano Napolitano
Player
Fabio Fognini
54% ( 51 of 94)
1st Serve %
72% ( 87 of 121)
5
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 54 of 87)
53% ( 23 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
24% ( 5 of 21)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
36% ( 34 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 53 of 121)
113
Total Points Won
102
L
7-5 4-6 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Joris De Loore
68% ( 60 of 88)
1st Serve %
49% ( 42 of 86)
2
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
2
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 34 of 42)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 29 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 29 of 86)
88
Total Points Won
86
W
4-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Pavel Kotov
Player
Fabio Fognini
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve %
66% ( 33 of 50)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
31% ( 4 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
38
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Laslo Djere
64% ( 58 of 90)
1st Serve %
71% ( 69 of 97)
3
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 50 of 69)
53% ( 17 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
36% ( 32 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 32 of 97)
90
Total Points Won
97
W
7-6(1) 2-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Hugo Gaston
59% ( 62 of 105)
1st Serve %
52% ( 59 of 113)
4
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
3
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 34 of 59)
47% ( 20 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
44% ( 46 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 56 of 113)
115
Total Points Won
103
W
6-7(4) 6-1 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Lucas Miedler
63% ( 53 of 84)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 81)
5
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
0
72% ( 38 of 53)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 35 of 53)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 30 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 34 of 81)
88
Total Points Won
77
W
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Mathias Bourgue
69% ( 59 of 85)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
0
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 28 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 32 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
82
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Arthur Gea
Player
Fabio Fognini
59% ( 55 of 94)
1st Serve %
58% ( 54 of 93)
0
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 29 of 54)
44% ( 17 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
45% ( 42 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 46 of 93)
98
Total Points Won
89
L
4-6 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
51% ( 35 of 69)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
1
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
1
60% ( 21 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
42% ( 29 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
73
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 1-6 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aleksandar Vukic
Player
Fabio Fognini
56% ( 23 of 41)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
91% ( 21 of 23)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
11% ( 2 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 10 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 28 of 46)
59
Total Points Won
28
L
6-1 6-1 H2H

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