Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!
Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.54% of his opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.84% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.56% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 3/ 2), with Carreno-Busta winning 33.33% (W/L 1/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 168), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
- Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Nadal winning 8 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Nadal winning 17 and Carreno-Busta winning 2. The last match between Nadal and Carreno-Busta was at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona, 24-04-2021, Semifinals, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:35:57.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 2 times, with Nadal winning 2 times and Carreno-Busta 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 0, and Carreno-Busta 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.2 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 332.67.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 42.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Nadal 8 - 0 Carreno-Busta
94
Total
36
Mast
2
Chall
22
Slam
33
Main
0
Minor
512
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
8
Total0
2
Hard0
5
Clay0
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
605
Rank
10
High
32
Age
R
Plays
30
Total
1
Mast
11
Chall
0
Slam
6
Main
12
Minor
Form
82% (1115-238)
Career Total W/L
64% (560-315)
60% (3-2)
YTD W/L
0% (0-0)
$96,415,145
Career Prize Money
$9,946,935
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Nadal VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
stats | Rafael Nadal | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 8 | 0 |
Sets Won | 17 | 2 |
Games Won | 110 | 52 |
Aces (Total) | 33 | 16 |
DFs (Total) | 9 | 12 |
Avg Match Time | 1:35:57 | 1:35:57 |
1st Serve % | 65% (311/480) | 71% (350/493) |
1st Serve Win% | 72% (224/311) | 60% (209/350) |
2nd Serve Win% | 66% (111/169) | 36% (52/143) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 51% (35/68) | 40% (8/20) |
Return Points W% | 47% (232/493) | 30% (145/480) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (7/7) | 0% (0/7) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
1st set W, W | 100% (6/6) | 0% (2/0) |
1st set W, L | 0% (6/0) | 100% (2/2) |
1st set L, W | 100% (2/2) | 0% (6/0) |
Nadal VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-3 6-2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
83%
(
44 of
53)
3
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
24 of
44)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
18 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
26 of
53)
64
Total Points Won
45
|
||||
4-6 7-5 6-1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
62%
(
52 of
84)
1st Serve %
74%
(
68 of
92)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
81%
(
42 of
52)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
26%
(
22 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
35 of
92)
97
Total Points Won
79
|
||||
6-1 6-1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
49%
(
19 of
39)
1st Serve %
73%
(
41 of
56)
2
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
79%
(
15 of
19)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
80%
(
16 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
21%
(
8 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
32 of
56)
63
Total Points Won
32
|
||||
6-1 6-2 6-4 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve %
65%
(
41 of
63)
9
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
1
87%
(
34 of
39)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
29 of
41)
78%
(
18 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
7 of
22)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
10 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
79
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
6-2 2-0 ret. |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65%
(
17 of
26)
1st Serve %
79%
(
22 of
28)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
47%
(
8 of
17)
1st Serve Won
36%
(
8 of
22)
67%
(
6 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
100%
(
5 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
46%
(
12 of
26)
Rtn Points Won
71%
(
20 of
28)
34
Total Points Won
20
|
||||
6-1 6-4 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve %
58%
(
26 of
45)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
59%
(
24 of
41)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
13 of
26)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
42%
(
25 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
25 of
45)
60
Total Points Won
45
|
||||
6-7(5) 6-3 6-1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
74%
(
59 of
80)
1st Serve %
67%
(
55 of
82)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
75%
(
44 of
59)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
34 of
55)
62%
(
13 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
29%
(
23 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
37 of
82)
94
Total Points Won
68
|
||||
7-5 6-3 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
49 of
73)
1st Serve %
72%
(
53 of
74)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
61%
(
30 of
49)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
36 of
53)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
37%
(
27 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
30 of
74)
76
Total Points Won
71
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Rafael Nadal | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 60% (3/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Sets Win/Loss | 64% (7/4) | 0% (0/0) |
Games Win/Loss | 57% (59/45) | 0% (0/0) |
Hard Win/Loss | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Clay Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.28 | 0 |
Aces Total | 14 | 0 |
DFs per game | 0.2 | 0 |
DFs Total | 10 | 0 |
Avg Match Time | 1:55:33 | 1st Match |
Avg Opp Rank | 106.2 | 0 |
1st Serve % | 69% (222/322) | 0% (0/0) |
1st Serve W% | 74% (164/222) | 0% (0/0) |
2nd Serve W% | 52% (52/100) | 0% (0/0) |
BPs Won% Total | 42% (14/33) | 0% (0/0) |
Return Pts W% | 39% (125/318) | 0% (0/0) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Masters W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 60% (3/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Deciding Set W% | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, W | 75% (4/3) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 25% (4/1) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H |
view more
Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64%
(
45 of
70)
1st Serve %
75%
(
47 of
63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
34 of
45)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
30 of
47)
72%
(
18 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
10 of
16)
50%
(
1 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
18 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
6-3 7-6(0) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70%
(
74 of
105)
1st Serve %
60%
(
44 of
73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68%
(
50 of
74)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
34 of
44)
32%
(
10 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
43%
(
45 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
27 of
73)
87
Total Points Won
91
|
2-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69%
(
64 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
43 of
61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
31 of
43)
48%
(
14 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
13)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
21 of
61)
83
Total Points Won
71
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58%
(
49 of
84)
1st Serve %
62%
(
62 of
100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
43 of
62)
49%
(
17 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
31 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
39 of
100)
92
Total Points Won
92
|
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66%
(
117 of
176)
1st Serve %
65%
(
122 of
187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76%
(
89 of
117)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
87 of
122)
56%
(
33 of
59)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
34 of
65)
19%
(
4 of
21)
Break Points Won
17%
(
3 of
18)
31%
(
54 of
176)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
66 of
187)
188
Total Points Won
175
|
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63%
(
59 of
93)
1st Serve %
61%
(
59 of
97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90%
(
53 of
59)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
48 of
59)
65%
(
22 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
19%
(
18 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
31 of
97)
106
Total Points Won
84
|
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77%
(
44 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
44 of
65)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
41 of
107)
101
Total Points Won
94
|
3-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
Rubber 2 | 5-7 6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | |||
R3 |
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
81%
(
52 of
64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
34 of
52)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
25%
(
3 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
26%
(
15 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
27 of
64)
69
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59%
(
48 of
81)
1st Serve %
50%
(
51 of
103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
86%
(
44 of
51)
70%
(
23 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
27%
(
22 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
34 of
103)
93
Total Points Won
91
|
7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 | H2H |
view more