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Rafael Nadal vs Sebastian Korda Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Korda analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Sebastian Korda Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Korda has won 47.16%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.54% of his opponent's second serve points, while Korda has won 52.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.84% and 28.77% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.56% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Korda has saved 56.12% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 3/ 2), with Korda winning 53.85% (W/L 28/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Korda has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 37/ 24), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 76/ 54).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Nadal winning 2 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Nadal winning 5 and Korda winning 1. The last match between Nadal and Korda was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 12-03-2022, Second, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:12:2.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Korda have played a deciding set 1 times, with Nadal winning 1 times and Korda 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 1, and Korda 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.2 while Korda has played against players with an average rank of 113.25.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Korda has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 42.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Korda has converted 42.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Nadal 2 - 0 Korda

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

26

Rank

23

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L L W L W W L W L

Form

W W L W L W L W L L

82% (1115-238)

Career Total W/L

60% (218-147)

60% (3-2)

YTD W/L

52% (11-10)

$96,415,145

Career Prize Money

$3,488,420

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Korda H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Sebastian Korda
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 5 1
Games Won 32 18
Aces (Total) 6 3
DFs (Total) 9 4
Avg Match Time 2:12:2 2:12:2
1st Serve % 65% (114/176) 59% (91/155)
1st Serve Win% 61% (70/114) 51% (46/91)
2nd Serve Win% 60% (37/62) 47% (30/64)
BPs Won% (Total) 71% (12/17) 29% (5/17)
Return Points W% 51% (79/155) 39% (69/176)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Nadal VS Korda H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 1-6 7-6(3)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Sebastian Korda
62% ( 61 of 98)
1st Serve %
52% ( 45 of 87)
5
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
2
61% ( 37 of 61)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
51% ( 19 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 20 of 42)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
43% ( 42 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 87)
95
Total Points Won
90
6-1 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 53 of 78)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 18 of 46)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
73% ( 8 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
35% ( 27 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
91
Total Points Won
55

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Sebastian Korda
YTD W/L 60% (3/2) 52% (11/10)
Sets Win/Loss 64% (7/4) 50% (26/26)
Games Win/Loss 57% (59/45) 51% (252/243)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 57% (8/6)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 33% (1/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (2/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.28 0.78
Aces Total 14 188
DFs per game 0.2 0.17
DFs Total 10 42
Avg Match Time 1:55:33 1:40:1
Avg Opp Rank 106.2 101.81
1st Serve % 69% (222/322) 60% (927/1533)
1st Serve W% 74% (164/222) 74% (684/927)
2nd Serve W% 52% (52/100) 47% (285/606)
BPs Won% Total 42% (14/33) 42% (61/145)
Return Pts W% 39% (125/318) 38% (595/1563)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 45% (5/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 60% (3/5) 50% (9/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 38% (3/8)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 67% (4/6)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 100% (10/10)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 0% (10/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 9% (11/1)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Sebastian Korda
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
54% ( 28 of 52)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
57% ( 24 of 42)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
47% ( 28 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
40
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
74% ( 37 of 50)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 16 of 37)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Sebastian Korda
69% ( 69 of 100)
1st Serve %
69% ( 70 of 102)
15
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 59 of 69)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 59 of 70)
71% ( 22 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 19 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
25% ( 26 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
95
L
7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
71% ( 65 of 92)
1st Serve %
74% ( 70 of 95)
21
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
82% ( 53 of 65)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 47 of 70)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
28% ( 26 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
100
Total Points Won
87
W
6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
51% ( 44 of 87)
1st Serve %
56% ( 68 of 121)
2
Aces
3
10
Double Faults
5
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
42% ( 18 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 17 of 53)
41% ( 9 of 22)
Break Points Won
78% ( 7 of 9)
44% ( 38 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 61 of 121)
110
Total Points Won
98
L
6-4 5-7 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Roman Safiullin
55% ( 33 of 60)
1st Serve %
54% ( 29 of 54)
6
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
70% ( 19 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
65
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Sebastian Korda
48% ( 23 of 48)
1st Serve %
56% ( 29 of 52)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 17 of 23)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 24 of 29)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 17 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
53
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 4-3 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
66% ( 25 of 38)
1st Serve %
58% ( 18 of 31)
10
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 10 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
49
Total Points Won
20
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Pavel Kotov
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve %
62% ( 26 of 42)
7
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
13% ( 2 of 16)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 12 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
55
Total Points Won
26
W
6-0 6-2 H2H

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