Sofia Shapatava vs Mara Guth Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Shapatava's second serve success stands at 39.36%, slightly outperforming Guth, who achieves 37.94%.
• Who excels in return games? Guth shows superior return effectiveness, claiming 55.01% of opponents' second serve points compared to Shapatava's 50.19%.
• In first serve returns, Guth again leads with 41.25%, leaving behind Shapatava's 31.41%.
• Guth has a marginal edge under pressure, saving 48.78% of breakpoints, outperforming Shapatava's 42.46%.
• What about overall match success? Shapatava boasts a 59.55% win ratio, whereas Guth's is slightly lower at 51.92% over the past year.
• Shapatava thrives on grass with a 67% win rate while struggling on indoor hard courts at 45%. Guth fares best on hard courts with 63%, but remarkably poor on grass.
• Level of play shows Shapatava competing mostly in $10K-tier events, winning 65.31%, whereas Guth plays higher-level tournaments but wins less, at 48.39%.
• Both players face similar opponent quality, with Shapatava’s average opponent ranked 405.81, marginally better than Guth's 431.37.
• Deciding sets are closely matched, with Shapatava edging out at 57% wins, narrowly besting Guth’s 56% success rate.
• In converting breakpoints, Guth has a slight advantage, capitalizing on 43.28% of chances against Shapatava's 38.62%.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

As we break down the key statistics between Shapatava and Guth, several comparative insights emerge that could impact the anticipated outcome of their upcoming match.

Shapatava has a slight upper hand in second serve performance, an area crucial for maintaining competitiveness, especially under pressure situations. However, Guth demonstrates superior return skills, particularly against both first and second serves, which could disrupt Shapatava's rhythm.

When under pressure, Guth's higher success rate in saving breakpoints provides a psychological edge. Nevertheless, Shapatava compensates for this with a better overall win ratio and experience against slightly stronger opponents.

Guth's prowess on hard courts could play a pivotal role, but significantly weaker performance on grass limits one crucial aspect of surface-level advantage. Notably, while both players excel in deciding sets, Shapatava's slight edge indicates a potential advantage in tightly contested matches.

Taking these factors into account, Shapatava's consistent win record and experience against tougher opponents, combined with Guth's impressive return game, suggest a competitive encounter. However, based on overall metrics and head-to-head data, Shapatava is slightly favored to emerge victorious in this match.