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Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Paul vs Medvedev analysis and find out who is favored!
Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Paul has won 52.34% of points on his second serve, while Medvedev has won 49.22%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Paul, in recent form, has won 50.3% of his opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 54.48%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.92% and 31.12% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Paul has saved 65.47% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 63.32% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Paul has won 61.11% of matches played (W/L 44/ 28), with Medvedev winning 73.97% (W/L 54/ 19) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Paul has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 115/ 65), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 22/ 14). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 78/ 44).
- Player level: In the last year, Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.33% of matches (W/L 22/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Paul winning 0 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Paul winning 2 and Medvedev winning 7. The last match between Paul and Medvedev was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 16-03-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:56.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Paul and Medvedev have played a deciding set 1 times, with Paul winning 0 times and Medvedev 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Paul winning 0, and Medvedev 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 144.54 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 92.59.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Paul has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Paul has converted 39.2% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 41.38% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Paul 0 - 3 Medvedev
16
Rank
12
High
26
Age
R
Plays
0
Total3
0
Hard2
0
Clay1
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
4
Rank
1
High
28
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
Form
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
63% (398-229)
Career Total W/L
72% (508-202)
70% (14-6)
YTD W/L
79% (19-5)
$5,428,545
Career Prize Money
$28,877,260
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Tommy Paul | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 0 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 2 | 7 |
| Games Won | 31 | 47 |
| Aces (Total) | 9 | 15 |
| DFs (Total) | 7 | 8 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:0:56 | 2:0:56 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (161/270) | 61% (148/242) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 58% (93/161) | 72% (107/148) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 40% (44/109) | 44% (41/94) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 48% (10/21) | 50% (18/36) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (94/242) | 49% (133/270) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 0% (2/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 100% (2/2) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 100% (2/2) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
Stats 
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
53%
(
53 of
100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
41%
(
16 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
49 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
100)
99
Total Points Won
104
|
||||
| 6-2 6-1 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
60%
(
32 of
53)
9
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
85%
(
29 of
34)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
44%
(
7 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
30 of
53)
66
Total Points Won
37
|
||||
| 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
56%
(
50 of
89)
1st Serve %
65%
(
76 of
117)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
40 of
50)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
44 of
76)
46%
(
18 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
53%
(
8 of
15)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
35%
(
31 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
58 of
117)
116
Total Points Won
90
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Tommy Paul | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 70% (14/6) | 79% (19/5) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 68% (34/16) | 68% (46/22) |
| Games Win/Loss | 56% (255/202) | 55% (362/299) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 63% (10/6) | 82% (18/4) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (4/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| Aces Total | 116 | 149 |
| DFs per game | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| DFs Total | 36 | 107 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:48:54 | 2:11:38 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 159.3 | 93.71 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (869/1452) | 61% (1286/2094) |
| 1st Serve W% | 73% (631/869) | 72% (929/1286) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 54% (314/583) | 50% (402/808) |
| BPs Won% Total | 41% (63/153) | 44% (98/225) |
| Return Pts W% | 41% (621/1514) | 40% (866/2141) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 86% (6/1) |
| Masters W/L | 67% (4/2) | 77% (10/3) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 73% (8/3) | 75% (3/1) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (12/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 86% (6/7) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (2/4) | 80% (8/10) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (3/6) | 86% (6/7) |
| 1st set W, W | 87% (15/13) | 93% (15/14) |
| 1st set W, L | 7% (15/1) | 7% (15/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 20% (5/1) | 56% (9/5) |
Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Martin Damm
Player
Tommy Paul
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve %
59%
(
26 of
44)
10
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
21 of
30)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
17 of
26)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
67%
(
12 of
18)
0%
(
0 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
14 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
15 of
44)
43
Total Points Won
43
|
4-6 2-1 ret. | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
53%
(
53 of
100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
41%
(
16 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
49 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
100)
99
Total Points Won
104
|
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Casper Ruud
55%
(
47 of
86)
1st Serve %
71%
(
67 of
94)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
40 of
67)
38%
(
15 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
43%
(
37 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
43 of
94)
92
Total Points Won
88
|
6-2 1-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Luca Nardi
63%
(
32 of
51)
1st Serve %
60%
(
40 of
67)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
29 of
40)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
27 of
67)
64
Total Points Won
54
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Ugo Humbert
66%
(
37 of
56)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
17 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
25 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Alex Michelsen
56%
(
23 of
41)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
83%
(
19 of
23)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
7 of
23)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
29%
(
12 of
41)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
38 of
73)
67
Total Points Won
47
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jack Draper
Player
Tommy Paul
57%
(
28 of
49)
1st Serve %
57%
(
32 of
56)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
29%
(
14 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
26 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Taylor Fritz
Player
Tommy Paul
58%
(
43 of
74)
1st Serve %
49%
(
26 of
53)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
61%
(
19 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
24 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
53)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Frances Tiafoe
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve %
61%
(
30 of
49)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
73%
(
8 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
9 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
23 of
49)
56
Total Points Won
35
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Jordan Thompson
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
49%
(
30 of
61)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
82%
(
23 of
28)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
18 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
28 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
52 of
86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
32 of
52)
32%
(
6 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
22 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
86)
83
Total Points Won
67
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48%
(
24 of
50)
1st Serve %
75%
(
48 of
64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83%
(
20 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
32 of
64)
68
Total Points Won
46
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
38 of
63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
17 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
71%
(
40 of
56)
1st Serve %
78%
(
54 of
69)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
32 of
54)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
4 of
15)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
33 of
69)
70
Total Points Won
55
|
7-6(5) 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Cameron Norrie
58%
(
32 of
55)
1st Serve %
63%
(
40 of
64)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
22 of
40)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
20 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
32 of
64)
67
Total Points Won
52
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Marton Fucsovics
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve %
70%
(
33 of
47)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
27%
(
15 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
47)
59
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
53%
(
53 of
100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
41%
(
16 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
49 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
100)
99
Total Points Won
104
|
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
56%
(
47 of
84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68%
(
30 of
44)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
32 of
47)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
14 of
37)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
34%
(
25 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
38 of
84)
86
Total Points Won
71
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
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