Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Paul vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Paul has won 54.8% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 58.33%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Paul, in recent form, has won 49.94% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 56.16%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.11% and 30.88% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Paul has saved 63.87% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 71.43% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Paul has won 60.27% of matches played (W/L 44/ 29), with Nadal winning 66.67% (W/L 2/ 1) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Paul has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 115/ 65), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 22/ 14). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 501/ 53), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.61% of matches (W/L 20/ 13), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 2/ 1). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Paul winning 1 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Paul winning 2 and Nadal winning 3. The last match between Paul and Nadal was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Second, I.hard with Tommy Paul getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:18:5.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Paul and Nadal have played a deciding set 1 times, with Paul winning 1 times and Nadal 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Paul winning 1, and Nadal 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 144.29 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 98.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Paul has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Paul has converted 39.65% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 45% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Paul 1 - 1 Nadal
12
Total
0
Mast
4
Chall
0
Slam
2
Main
6
Minor
14
Rank
12
High
26
Age
R
Plays
1
Total1
0
Hard1
0
Clay0
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
647
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
94
Total
36
Mast
2
Chall
22
Slam
33
Main
0
Minor
Form
63% (398-229)
Career Total W/L
82% (1114-237)
70% (14-6)
YTD W/L
67% (2-1)
$5,463,045
Career Prize Money
$96,394,795
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Tommy Paul | Rafael Nadal |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 1 | 1 |
Sets Won | 2 | 3 |
Games Won | 22 | 26 |
Aces (Total) | 8 | 8 |
DFs (Total) | 4 | 7 |
Avg Match Time | 2:18:5 | 2:18:5 |
1st Serve % | 59% (97/164) | 64% (106/166) |
1st Serve Win% | 67% (65/97) | 68% (72/106) |
2nd Serve Win% | 39% (26/67) | 42% (25/60) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 53% (8/15) | 47% (9/19) |
Return Points W% | 42% (69/166) | 45% (73/164) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/1) |
1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/1) |
1st set L, W | 50% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-6 7-6(4) 6-1 |
Tommy Paul
Player
Rafael Nadal
57%
(
50 of
88)
1st Serve %
68%
(
67 of
99)
4
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
3
78%
(
39 of
50)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
45 of
67)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
12 of
32)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
35%
(
31 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
42 of
99)
99
Total Points Won
88
|
||||
6-0 7-6(5) |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Tommy Paul
58%
(
39 of
67)
1st Serve %
62%
(
47 of
76)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
69%
(
27 of
39)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
46%
(
13 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
40%
(
27 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
42 of
76)
82
Total Points Won
61
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Tommy Paul | Rafael Nadal |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 70% (14/6) | 67% (2/1) |
Sets Win/Loss | 68% (34/16) | 71% (5/2) |
Games Win/Loss | 56% (255/202) | 60% (41/27) |
Hard Win/Loss | 63% (10/6) | 67% (2/1) |
Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (4/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.52 | 0.42 |
Aces Total | 116 | 14 |
DFs per game | 0.16 | 0.18 |
DFs Total | 36 | 6 |
Avg Match Time | 1:48:54 | 2:6:38 |
Avg Opp Rank | 159.3 | 98 |
1st Serve % | 60% (869/1452) | 70% (140/200) |
1st Serve W% | 73% (631/869) | 79% (110/140) |
2nd Serve W% | 54% (314/583) | 58% (35/60) |
BPs Won% Total | 41% (63/153) | 45% (9/20) |
Return Pts W% | 41% (621/1514) | 40% (83/209) |
Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Masters W/L | 67% (4/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 73% (8/3) | 67% (2/1) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (12/16) | 67% (2/3) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/1) |
Deciding Set W% | 50% (3/6) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 87% (15/13) | 67% (3/2) |
1st set W, L | 7% (15/1) | 33% (3/1) |
1st set L, W | 20% (5/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Martin Damm
Player
Tommy Paul
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve %
59%
(
26 of
44)
10
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
21 of
30)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
17 of
26)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
67%
(
12 of
18)
0%
(
0 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
14 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
15 of
44)
43
Total Points Won
43
|
4-6 2-1 ret. | H2H | ||
SF |
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62%
(
64 of
103)
1st Serve %
53%
(
53 of
100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
41%
(
16 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
49 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
100)
99
Total Points Won
104
|
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Tommy Paul
Player
Casper Ruud
55%
(
47 of
86)
1st Serve %
71%
(
67 of
94)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
40 of
67)
38%
(
15 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
43%
(
37 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
43 of
94)
92
Total Points Won
88
|
6-2 1-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Tommy Paul
Player
Luca Nardi
63%
(
32 of
51)
1st Serve %
60%
(
40 of
67)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
29 of
40)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
27 of
67)
64
Total Points Won
54
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Tommy Paul
Player
Ugo Humbert
66%
(
37 of
56)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
17 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
25 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Tommy Paul
Player
Alex Michelsen
56%
(
23 of
41)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
83%
(
19 of
23)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
7 of
23)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
29%
(
12 of
41)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
38 of
73)
67
Total Points Won
47
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Jack Draper
Player
Tommy Paul
57%
(
28 of
49)
1st Serve %
57%
(
32 of
56)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
29%
(
14 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
26 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
F |
Taylor Fritz
Player
Tommy Paul
58%
(
43 of
74)
1st Serve %
49%
(
26 of
53)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
61%
(
19 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
24 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
53)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
SF |
Tommy Paul
Player
Frances Tiafoe
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve %
61%
(
30 of
49)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
73%
(
8 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
9 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
23 of
49)
56
Total Points Won
35
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Tommy Paul
Player
Jordan Thompson
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
49%
(
30 of
61)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
82%
(
23 of
28)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
18 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
28 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H |
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Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
QF |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
48 of
68)
1st Serve %
59%
(
36 of
61)
15
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
81%
(
39 of
48)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
26 of
36)
40%
(
8 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
31%
(
21 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
23 of
61)
70
Total Points Won
59
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
Robin |
Taylor Fritz
Player
Rafael Nadal
69%
(
40 of
58)
1st Serve %
71%
(
49 of
69)
8
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
80%
(
32 of
40)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
37 of
49)
78%
(
14 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
12 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
24 of
69)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
7-6(3) 6-1 | H2H |
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