Varvara Gracheva vs Julia Riera Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Gracheva's second serve success rate is 40.88%, while Riera's is slightly higher at 43.99%. Could this give Riera an edge?
• On their opponent's second serves, Gracheva has a slight advantage, winning 51.88% compared to Riera's 48.55%.
• When looking at first serve returns, Gracheva wins 35.4% of points, slightly more than Riera's 33.77%.
• Under pressure, Gracheva has saved 48.43% of breakpoints, just edging out Riera's 47.06% save percentage.
• Gracheva's overall match win rate in the past year is 47.17%. In contrast, Riera stands at 55.17%, making her appear more successful in recent form.
• On clay, both players excel, with Gracheva having a 65% win rate and Riera at 66%, showcasing a minor advantage for Riera.
• Gracheva predominantly plays on the Main tour with a 45.45% win rate, while Riera competes more on the Challenger/ITF level, winning 48.57%.
• Gracheva has faced stronger competition, with opponents having an average rank of 100.17, compared to Riera’s opponents at 285.53 in the last year.
• In deciding sets, Riera leads slightly with a 48% success rate, while Gracheva's is at 42% over the past 12 months.
• Gracheva converts 36.36% of breakpoint opportunities, whereas Riera takes advantage of 47.06% of her break chances, indicating stronger breakpoint performance.

Editorial Prediction (July 10, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an intriguing comparison of strengths. While Gracheva has a slight edge in returning second serves and saving breakpoints under pressure, her overall win rate falls behind Riera's recent performance. Riera also demonstrates a clear advantage in turning breakpoints to her favor.

Despite Gracheva's experience on the Main tour and against higher-ranked opponents, Riera's consistent performance in Challengers and superior breakpoint conversion offer her a competitive advantage.

Given the close comparison in these critical areas and current trends, Riera appears to have a slight upper hand in the upcoming match, making her the likely winner based on recent statistics and performances.