Yue Yuan vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When analyzing second serve performance over the past six months, Yue Yuan holds a slight edge by winning 41.68% of points compared to Ekaterina Alexandrova's 39.84%. Does this suggest an advantage for Yue Yuan? It's possible, as there's a strong correlation between second serve success and match outcomes.
• In terms of return game performance, Yue Yuan again marginally leads by securing 50.28% of opponents' second serve points, while Ekaterina Alexandrova wins 49.44%. A similar pattern is observed in first serve returns, with Yue Yuan at 32.13% versus Alexandrova at 30.19%.
• Under pressure, Yue Yuan has slightly better breakpoint saving stats, protecting 47.49% compared to Alexandrova's 46.74%, which can be crucial in tight moments during their match.
• Ekaterina Alexandrova shows a commanding performance overview, winning 65.15% of her matches in the last year, whereas Yue Yuan has a win percentage of 45.10%.
• Both players have their best career success on Indoor hard courts, with each achieving a 69% win rate. However, Yue Yuan struggles more on Grass, her worst surface at a 48% win rate.
• Looking at match level, Alexandrova wins 72.73% of her matches on the Main tour over the past year, whereas Yue Yuan's win percentage is 47.62% at the same level.
• The players have faced each other twice, each winning one match, with Alexandrova winning the most recent encounter in straight sets.
• Ekaterina Alexandrova frequently competes against higher-ranked opponents, with an average ranking of 57.44, compared to Yuan's 133.12.
• Regarding deciding set performances, Alexandrova has a higher success rate, winning 50% of those sets, whereas Yuan only wins 25%.

Editorial Prediction (October 16, 2025, UTC):

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Yue Yuan present an intriguing matchup, with both players having their strengths and relative advantages. While Yue Yuan shows a slight edge in recent second serve and return performance, the overall performance matrix leans heavily towards Ekaterina Alexandrova.

Alexandrova's superior win-loss record over the past year, her consistent success against higher-ranked opponents, and her higher win percentage on the Main tour are substantial indicators of her competitive edge. Additionally, her resilience in deciding sets further enhances her prospects.

Despite their equal head-to-head record, Alexandrova's ability to perform better against tougher opponents and her overall consistency suggest she holds the upper hand in this upcoming encounter.

With all factors considered, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the more likely winner in this match.