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Alexander Bublik vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Bublik vs Shapovalov analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alexander Bublik vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Bublik has won 43.61% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 45.5%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Bublik, in recent form, has won 44.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Shapovalov has won 47.04%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.43% and 29.81% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Bublik has saved 61.02% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shapovalov has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Bublik has won 61.4% of matches played (W/L 35/ 22), with Shapovalov winning 46.67% (W/L 14/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Bublik has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 106/ 61), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 54/ 56). Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 74/ 45), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21).
  • Player level: In the last year, Bublik has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.65% of matches (W/L 23/ 11), where as Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 30.77% of matches (W/L 4/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Bublik winning 3 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Bublik winning 6 and Shapovalov winning 3. The last match between Bublik and Shapovalov was at the Open Sud de France - Montpellier, 31-01-2024, Second, I.hard with Alexander Bublik getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:21:5.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Bublik and Shapovalov have played a deciding set 3 times, with Bublik winning 3 times and Shapovalov 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Bublik winning 1, and Shapovalov 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Bublik has played against opponents with an average rank of 129.49 while Shapovalov has played against players with an average rank of 124.1.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Bublik has won 78% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shapovalov has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Bublik has converted 43.05% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shapovalov has converted 34.31% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Bublik 3 - 0 Shapovalov

Alexander Bublik

14

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

4

Minor

17

Rank

17

High

26

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

126

Rank

10

High

25

Age

L

Plays

Denis Shapovalov

7

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

4

Minor

3

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W L L L W W L

Form

L W W L L L W W L L

58% (342-249)

Career Total W/L

59% (285-195)

64% (16-9)

YTD W/L

40% (8-12)

$4,184,995

Career Prize Money

$7,864,410

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Bublik VS Shapovalov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alexander Bublik Denis Shapovalov
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 6 3
Games Won 48 44
Aces (Total) 34 29
DFs (Total) 23 25
Avg Match Time 2:21:5 2:21:5
1st Serve % 55% (167/301) 56% (180/323)
1st Serve Win% 77% (129/167) 72% (129/180)
2nd Serve Win% 54% (73/134) 50% (71/143)
BPs Won% (Total) 24% (7/29) 32% (7/22)
Return Points W% 38% (123/323) 33% (99/301)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 0% (2/0)

Bublik VS Shapovalov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
1-6 7-6(12) 6-3
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Denis Shapovalov
52% ( 52 of 100)
1st Serve %
56% ( 60 of 107)
10
Aces
16
9
Double Faults
6
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 45 of 60)
58% ( 28 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
31% ( 31 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
100
6-4 5-7 6-4
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61% ( 62 of 101)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
10
Aces
6
7
Double Faults
14
74% ( 46 of 62)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 42 of 59)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 28 of 56)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 34 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 45 of 115)
112
Total Points Won
104
7-5 4-6 6-3
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Denis Shapovalov
53% ( 53 of 100)
1st Serve %
60% ( 61 of 101)
14
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
5
79% ( 42 of 53)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 42 of 61)
51% ( 24 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
34% ( 34 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 40 of 101)
106
Total Points Won
95

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alexander Bublik Denis Shapovalov
YTD W/L 64% (16/9) 40% (8/12)
Sets Win/Loss 52% (32/30) 44% (21/27)
Games Win/Loss 50% (302/302) 50% (244/240)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (9/6) 38% (3/5)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (2/2) 33% (2/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 83% (5/1) 50% (3/3)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.84 0.76
Aces Total 248 183
DFs per game 0.55 0.55
DFs Total 162 131
Avg Match Time 1:48:7 1:49:57
Avg Opp Rank 136.32 130.25
1st Serve % 60% (1175/1973) 58% (886/1530)
1st Serve W% 75% (879/1175) 77% (680/886)
2nd Serve W% 44% (348/798) 45% (293/644)
BPs Won% Total 43% (65/151) 34% (47/137)
Return Pts W% 37% (695/1874) 36% (574/1584)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 43% (3/4) 56% (5/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 30% (3/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 65% (15/23) 42% (8/19)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 55% (6/11) 22% (2/9)
Deciding Set W% 100% (10/10) 29% (2/7)
1st set W, W 100% (6/6) 73% (11/8)
1st set W, L 0% (6/0) 27% (11/3)
1st set L, W 53% (19/10) 0% (9/0)

Alexander Bublik Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 12 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 81)
78
Total Points Won
68
L
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Ben Shelton
64% ( 59 of 92)
1st Serve %
60% ( 62 of 103)
8
Aces
9
8
Double Faults
1
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 45 of 62)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
28% ( 26 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 31 of 103)
97
Total Points Won
98
W
3-6 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
69% ( 44 of 64)
6
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
3
74% ( 34 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
73
Total Points Won
64
W
1-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
W
bye H2H
R1
cross
Borna Coric
Player
Alexander Bublik
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
48% ( 25 of 52)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
71% ( 15 of 21)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 6 of 27)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
35% ( 15 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
59
Total Points Won
36
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
53
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexander Bublik
55% ( 36 of 65)
1st Serve %
52% ( 36 of 69)
3
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
10
67% ( 24 of 36)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 27 of 36)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
15% ( 5 of 33)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
37% ( 24 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 37 of 69)
78
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Juncheng Shang
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve %
66% ( 29 of 44)
10
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 28 of 37)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 19 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 21 of 44)
59
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Ugo Humbert
Player
Alexander Bublik
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
62% ( 39 of 63)
9
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
6
73% ( 33 of 45)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 18 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Andrey Rublev
67% ( 82 of 122)
1st Serve %
68% ( 67 of 98)
21
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 57 of 82)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
55% ( 22 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
35% ( 43 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 28 of 98)
107
Total Points Won
113
W
6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 def. H2H

Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
54% ( 67 of 123)
1st Serve %
55% ( 66 of 119)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
14
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 46 of 66)
50% ( 28 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 19 of 53)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 52 of 123)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 54 of 119)
125
Total Points Won
117
L
6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Denis Shapovalov
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 37 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 16 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 86)
83
Total Points Won
63
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
58% ( 52 of 90)
1st Serve %
72% ( 51 of 71)
8
Aces
1
12
Double Faults
3
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
42% ( 16 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
38% ( 34 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 71)
85
Total Points Won
76
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Facundo Diaz Acosta
56% ( 45 of 80)
1st Serve %
69% ( 52 of 75)
7
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
0
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 13 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 26 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 26 of 75)
80
Total Points Won
75
W
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Denis Shapovalov
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve %
49% ( 31 of 63)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 10 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 12 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
65
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
50% ( 28 of 56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 21 of 28)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 23 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
48
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
60% ( 28 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 99)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 39 of 64)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
17% ( 3 of 18)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 99)
82
Total Points Won
64
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luciano Darderi
68% ( 61 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 78 of 135)
16
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
4
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 53 of 78)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 57 of 135)
119
Total Points Won
106
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 42 of 55)
57% ( 21 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 37 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 38 of 97)
96
Total Points Won
96
L
6-4 2-6 7-5 H2H

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