Aslan Karatsev vs Andrey Rublev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Karatsev vs Rublev analysis and find out who is favored!
Aslan Karatsev vs Andrey Rublev Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Karatsev has won 49.11% of points on his second serve, while Rublev has won 56.98%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Karatsev, in recent form, has won 54.67% of his opponent's second serve points, while Rublev has won 51.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.32% and 27.83% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Karatsev has saved 57.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rublev has saved 72.84% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Karatsev has won 54.55% of matches played (W/L 18/ 15), with Rublev winning 69.23% (W/L 54/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Karatsev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 156/ 88), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13). Rublev has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 25/ 13), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 120/ 67).
- Player level: In the last year, Karatsev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 55.56% of matches (W/L 10/ 8), where as Rublev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Karatsev winning 1 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Karatsev winning 3 and Rublev winning 4. The last match between Karatsev and Rublev was at the Wimbledon - London, 06-07-2023, Second, Grass with Andrey Rublev getting the victory 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 7-5.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:32:3.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Karatsev and Rublev have played a deciding set 1 times, with Karatsev winning 1 times and Rublev 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Karatsev winning 1, and Rublev 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Karatsev has played against opponents with an average rank of 182.3 while Rublev has played against players with an average rank of 90.58.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Karatsev has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rublev has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Karatsev has converted 52.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rublev has converted 29.96% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Karatsev 1 - 1 Rublev
16
Total
0
Mast
3
Chall
0
Slam
3
Main
10
Minor
86
Rank
14
High
30
Age
R
Plays
1
Total1
1
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass1
6
Rank
5
High
26
Age
R
Plays
21
Total
2
Mast
1
Chall
0
Slam
14
Main
4
Minor
Form
59% (405-282)
Career Total W/L
65% (450-240)
33% (1-2)
YTD W/L
72% (21-8)
$3,787,005
Career Prize Money
$15,287,605
0
YTD Titles
2
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Aslan Karatsev | Andrey Rublev |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 1 | 1 |
Sets Won | 3 | 4 |
Games Won | 35 | 37 |
Aces (Total) | 15 | 17 |
DFs (Total) | 11 | 3 |
Avg Match Time | 2:32:3 | 2:32:3 |
1st Serve % | 58% (124/212) | 58% (139/241) |
1st Serve Win% | 71% (88/124) | 72% (100/139) |
2nd Serve Win% | 55% (48/88) | 53% (54/102) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 30% (6/20) | 50% (7/14) |
Return Points W% | 36% (87/241) | 36% (76/212) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 50% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 50% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/1) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 7-5 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Aslan Karatsev
62%
(
80 of
130)
1st Serve %
60%
(
79 of
132)
12
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
5
76%
(
61 of
80)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
53 of
79)
58%
(
29 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
29 of
53)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
31%
(
40 of
130)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
50 of
132)
140
Total Points Won
122
|
||||
6-2 4-6 6-4 |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Andrey Rublev
56%
(
45 of
80)
1st Serve %
53%
(
59 of
111)
7
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
2
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
39 of
59)
54%
(
19 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
25%
(
4 of
16)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
26 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
47 of
111)
101
Total Points Won
90
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Aslan Karatsev | Andrey Rublev |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 33% (1/2) | 72% (21/8) |
Sets Win/Loss | 43% (3/4) | 64% (48/27) |
Games Win/Loss | 50% (39/39) | 54% (416/352) |
Hard Win/Loss | 0% (0/1) | 72% (13/5) |
Clay Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 75% (6/2) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.13 | 0.6 |
Aces Total | 5 | 224 |
DFs per game | 0.45 | 0.14 |
DFs Total | 17 | 54 |
Avg Match Time | 2:18:15 | 1:54:46 |
Avg Opp Rank | 211.67 | 127.93 |
1st Serve % | 57% (150/262) | 65% (1505/2325) |
1st Serve W% | 68% (102/150) | 76% (1145/1505) |
2nd Serve W% | 49% (55/112) | 58% (477/820) |
BPs Won% Total | 53% (9/17) | 31% (67/216) |
Return Pts W% | 38% (88/230) | 37% (936/2522) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) | 80% (4/1) |
Masters W/L | 50% (1/1) | 70% (7/3) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 0% (0/1) | 71% (10/4) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 74% (17/23) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 67% (4/6) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 33% (1/3) | 47% (7/15) |
Deciding Set W% | 50% (1/2) | 89% (8/9) |
1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 94% (17/16) |
1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 6% (17/1) |
1st set L, W | 33% (3/1) | 42% (12/5) |
Aslan Karatsev Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
64%
(
63 of
99)
1st Serve %
70%
(
58 of
83)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
67%
(
42 of
63)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
41 of
58)
53%
(
19 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
38%
(
38 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
33 of
83)
94
Total Points Won
88
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Aslan Karatsev
68%
(
48 of
71)
1st Serve %
52%
(
48 of
93)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
22 of
45)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
32%
(
23 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
40 of
93)
88
Total Points Won
76
|
7-6(6) 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Jason Murray Kubler
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64%
(
49 of
76)
1st Serve %
56%
(
39 of
70)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
29 of
39)
48%
(
13 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
42%
(
32 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
27 of
70)
71
Total Points Won
75
|
6-4 6-7(4) ret. | H2H | ||
R1 |
Borna Gojo
Player
Aslan Karatsev
79%
(
38 of
48)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
82%
(
31 of
38)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
11 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
55)
62
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
F |
Ben Shelton
Player
Aslan Karatsev
80%
(
40 of
50)
1st Serve %
57%
(
36 of
63)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
80%
(
32 of
40)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
22 of
36)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
22%
(
11 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
67
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
SF |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
58%
(
34 of
59)
1st Serve %
56%
(
30 of
54)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
85%
(
29 of
34)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
21 of
30)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
15 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
20 of
54)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Alex De Minaur
62%
(
43 of
69)
1st Serve %
63%
(
30 of
48)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
35%
(
24 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
48)
64
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Zhizhen Zhang
49%
(
24 of
49)
1st Serve %
62%
(
38 of
61)
4
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
2
96%
(
23 of
24)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
68%
(
17 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
9 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
25 of
61)
65
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Frances Tiafoe
63%
(
52 of
82)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
10
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve Won
87%
(
26 of
30)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
35%
(
29 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
21 of
60)
74
Total Points Won
68
|
6-3 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Quentin Halys
Player
Aslan Karatsev
52%
(
45 of
86)
1st Serve %
60%
(
57 of
95)
5
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
5
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
46 of
57)
56%
(
23 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
16 of
38)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
33%
(
28 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
33 of
95)
91
Total Points Won
90
|
7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 | H2H |
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Andrey Rublev Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
F |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67%
(
61 of
91)
1st Serve %
68%
(
84 of
123)
7
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
5
77%
(
47 of
61)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
60 of
84)
60%
(
18 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
14 of
39)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
29%
(
26 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
49 of
123)
114
Total Points Won
100
|
4-6 7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
SF |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taylor Fritz
75%
(
46 of
61)
1st Serve %
55%
(
26 of
47)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
83%
(
38 of
46)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
18 of
26)
40%
(
6 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
12 of
21)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
28%
(
17 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
17 of
47)
61
Total Points Won
47
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74%
(
64 of
86)
1st Serve %
70%
(
57 of
81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
51 of
64)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
29%
(
25 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
30 of
81)
91
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
77%
(
33 of
43)
1st Serve %
72%
(
41 of
57)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
97%
(
32 of
33)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
26 of
41)
40%
(
4 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
7 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
24 of
57)
60
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
73%
(
55 of
75)
1st Serve %
77%
(
66 of
86)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
69%
(
38 of
55)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
43 of
66)
75%
(
15 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
29%
(
22 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
33 of
86)
86
Total Points Won
75
|
7-6(10) 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Facundo Bagnis
67%
(
40 of
60)
1st Serve %
70%
(
52 of
74)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
27 of
52)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
21 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
37 of
74)
76
Total Points Won
58
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Andrey Rublev
55%
(
41 of
75)
1st Serve %
48%
(
38 of
79)
6
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
5
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
11%
(
1 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
31%
(
23 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
26 of
79)
78
Total Points Won
76
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Andrey Rublev
50%
(
34 of
68)
1st Serve %
58%
(
42 of
72)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
53%
(
18 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
35%
(
24 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
31 of
72)
75
Total Points Won
65
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Andrey Rublev
66%
(
37 of
56)
1st Serve %
63%
(
33 of
52)
1
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
0
86%
(
32 of
37)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
23 of
33)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
68%
(
13 of
19)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
14 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
31%
(
16 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
50
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Andrey Rublev
53%
(
27 of
51)
1st Serve %
56%
(
33 of
59)
9
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
93%
(
25 of
27)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
22%
(
11 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
22 of
59)
62
Total Points Won
48
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H |
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