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Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sinner vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sinner has won 58.25% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 58.98%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sinner, in recent form, has won 53.88% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 57.9%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.44% and 34.51% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sinner has saved 78.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 63.21% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sinner has won 85.71% of matches played (W/L 66/ 11), with Alcaraz winning 78.87% (W/L 56/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 14/ 10). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
- Player level: In the last year, Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 83.33% of matches (W/L 25/ 5), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 75% of matches (W/L 21/ 7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Sinner winning 4 times. They have played 27 sets in total, with Sinner winning 13 and Alcaraz winning 14. The last match between Sinner and Alcaraz was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 16-03-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:40:56.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sinner and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 5 times, with Sinner winning 2 times and Alcaraz 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 8 tiebreaks against each other with Sinner winning 3, and Alcaraz 5.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sinner has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.22 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 96.56.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sinner has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sinner has converted 44.44% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 42.6% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Sinner 4 - 5 Alcaraz
2
Rank
2
High
22
Age
R
Plays
4
Total5
2
Hard3
1
Clay1
0
Indoor1
1
Grass0
3
Rank
1
High
21
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
72% (299-119)
Career Total W/L
78% (248-68)
93% (28-2)
YTD W/L
78% (18-5)
$14,769,015
Career Prize Money
$18,910,640
3
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Sets Won | 13 | 14 |
| Games Won | 140 | 130 |
| Aces (Total) | 39 | 33 |
| DFs (Total) | 37 | 29 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:40:56 | 2:40:56 |
| 1st Serve % | 58% (543/941) | 65% (546/843) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 68% (368/543) | 65% (357/546) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 52% (207/398) | 52% (154/297) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 49% (36/73) | 32% (30/95) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (332/843) | 39% (366/941) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 43% (3/7) | 57% (4/7) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 38% (3/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 67% (6/4) |
| 1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 33% (6/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 33% (6/2) | 33% (3/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
Stats 
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
||||
| 7-6(4) 6-1 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59%
(
44 of
75)
1st Serve %
71%
(
45 of
63)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
66%
(
29 of
44)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
27 of
45)
48%
(
15 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
41%
(
31 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
75
Total Points Won
63
|
||||
| 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
66 of
104)
1st Serve %
55%
(
62 of
113)
8
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
9
68%
(
45 of
66)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
41 of
62)
55%
(
21 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
21 of
51)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
37%
(
38 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
51 of
113)
117
Total Points Won
100
|
||||
| 7-6(4) 6-3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
72%
(
52 of
72)
1st Serve %
50%
(
36 of
72)
5
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
73%
(
38 of
52)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
28 of
36)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
17 of
36)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
35%
(
25 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
27 of
72)
74
Total Points Won
70
|
||||
| 6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
110 of
169)
1st Serve %
55%
(
117 of
213)
5
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
11
63%
(
69 of
110)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
75 of
117)
59%
(
35 of
59)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
43 of
96)
42%
(
11 of
26)
Break Points Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
38%
(
65 of
169)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
95 of
213)
199
Total Points Won
183
|
||||
| 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
58%
(
53 of
92)
1st Serve %
67%
(
50 of
75)
6
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
41 of
53)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
62%
(
24 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
9)
29%
(
27 of
92)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
30 of
75)
95
Total Points Won
72
|
||||
| 6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
57%
(
82 of
143)
1st Serve %
67%
(
81 of
121)
4
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
74%
(
61 of
82)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
53 of
81)
66%
(
40 of
61)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
29%
(
42 of
143)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
45 of
121)
146
Total Points Won
118
|
||||
| 7-6(1) 7-5 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
57%
(
45 of
79)
1st Serve %
64%
(
54 of
85)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
2
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
33 of
54)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
24 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
34 of
85)
89
Total Points Won
75
|
||||
| 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
68%
(
54 of
79)
1st Serve %
54%
(
45 of
83)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
54%
(
29 of
54)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
26 of
45)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
14 of
38)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
63%
(
5 of
8)
44%
(
35 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
43 of
83)
87
Total Points Won
75
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 93% (28/2) | 78% (18/5) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 85% (64/11) | 76% (42/13) |
| Games Win/Loss | 63% (437/260) | 60% (302/200) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 94% (17/1) | 87% (13/2) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 86% (6/1) | 63% (5/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (5/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| Aces Total | 154 | 68 |
| DFs per game | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| DFs Total | 46 | 38 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:52:51 | 1:45:28 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 92.77 | 131.7 |
| 1st Serve % | 62% (1277/2061) | 67% (999/1487) |
| 1st Serve W% | 79% (1015/1277) | 73% (725/999) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 59% (461/784) | 59% (286/488) |
| BPs Won% Total | 45% (107/237) | 44% (83/190) |
| Return Pts W% | 41% (924/2231) | 43% (722/1666) |
| Slam W/L | 100% (7/0) | 80% (4/1) |
| Masters W/L | 89% (16/2) | 86% (12/2) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 100% (5/0) | 50% (2/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 91% (20/22) | 82% (14/17) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (7/7) | 80% (4/5) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 60% (3/5) | 60% (6/10) |
| Deciding Set W% | 71% (5/7) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 96% (26/25) | 94% (17/16) |
| 1st set W, L | 4% (26/1) | 6% (17/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 75% (4/3) | 40% (5/2) |
Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF | w/o | H2H | |||
| R4 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Karen Khachanov
69%
(
59 of
85)
1st Serve %
69%
(
58 of
84)
5
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
0
80%
(
47 of
59)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
39 of
58)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
17 of
26)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
28%
(
24 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
28 of
84)
89
Total Points Won
80
|
5-7 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Pavel Kotov
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
56%
(
34 of
61)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
37%
(
21 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
66
Total Points Won
52
|
6-2 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve %
59%
(
26 of
44)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86%
(
25 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
62%
(
8 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
9 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
23 of
44)
56
Total Points Won
30
|
6-0 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jannik Sinner
60%
(
50 of
84)
1st Serve %
58%
(
59 of
102)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
70%
(
35 of
50)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
44 of
59)
62%
(
21 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
20 of
43)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
33%
(
28 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
38 of
102)
94
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59%
(
53 of
90)
1st Serve %
53%
(
50 of
95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87%
(
46 of
53)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
41 of
50)
68%
(
25 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
22 of
45)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
21%
(
19 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
32 of
95)
103
Total Points Won
82
|
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve %
44%
(
28 of
63)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
4
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
17 of
28)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
24%
(
11 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
30 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
44
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
52%
(
32 of
62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
26%
(
11 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
33 of
62)
65
Total Points Won
40
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56%
(
24 of
43)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
21 of
24)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
19 of
32)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
22 of
50)
55
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74%
(
64 of
86)
1st Serve %
70%
(
57 of
81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
51 of
64)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
29%
(
25 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
30 of
81)
91
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63%
(
83 of
131)
1st Serve %
61%
(
63 of
103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59%
(
49 of
83)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
49 of
63)
69%
(
33 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
37%
(
49 of
131)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
103)
119
Total Points Won
115
|
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve %
58%
(
32 of
55)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65%
(
17 of
26)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
22%
(
5 of
23)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
37%
(
14 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
64%
(
35 of
55)
59
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
1-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
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