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Naoki Nakagawa vs Keegan Smith Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nakagawa vs Smith analysis and find out who is favored!
Naoki Nakagawa vs Keegan Smith Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nakagawa has won 51.06% of points on his second serve, while Smith has won 49.51%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nakagawa, in recent form, has won 43.38% of his opponent's second serve points, while Smith has won 48.63%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.97% and 31.31% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Nakagawa has saved 63.16% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Smith has saved 61.64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Nakagawa has won 65.22% of matches played (W/L 30/ 16), with Smith winning 57.75% (W/L 41/ 30) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Nakagawa has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 175/ 109), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 47% (W/L 8/ 9). Smith has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 123/ 68), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 33% (W/L 3/ 6).
- Player level: In the last year, Nakagawa has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 78.13% of matches (W/L 25/ 7), where as Smith has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 65% of matches (W/L 26/ 14). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Nakagawa winning 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Nakagawa winning 2 and Smith winning 1. The last match between Nakagawa and Smith was at the Seoul Challenger, 09-10-2022, Q1 round, Hard with Naoki Nakagawa getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:52:5.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Nakagawa and Smith have played a deciding set 1 times, with Nakagawa winning 1 times and Smith 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nakagawa winning 0, and Smith 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nakagawa has played against opponents with an average rank of 186.04 while Smith has played against players with an average rank of 175.62.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nakagawa has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Smith has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Nakagawa has converted 43.86% of breakpoint opportunities, and Smith has converted 37.88% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Nakagawa 1 - 0 Smith
428
Rank
334
High
27
Age
R
Plays
1
Total0
1
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
582
Rank
339
High
25
Age
R
Plays
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
Form
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
61% (295-192)
Career Total W/L
61% (144-92)
25% (1-3)
YTD W/L
55% (12-10)
$0
Career Prize Money
$4,570
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Naoki Nakagawa | Keegan Smith |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 1 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 2 | 1 |
| Games Won | 15 | 13 |
| Aces (Total) | 10 | 11 |
| DFs (Total) | 4 | 4 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:52:5 | 1:52:5 |
| 1st Serve % | 57% (54/94) | 74% (60/81) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 67% (36/54) | 70% (42/60) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 55% (22/40) | 43% (9/21) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 60% (3/5) | 29% (2/7) |
| Return Points W% | 37% (30/81) | 38% (36/94) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
Stats 
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Keegan Smith
57%
(
54 of
94)
1st Serve %
74%
(
60 of
81)
10
Aces
11
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
36 of
54)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
42 of
60)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
38%
(
36 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
30 of
81)
88
Total Points Won
87
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Naoki Nakagawa | Keegan Smith |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 25% (1/3) | 55% (12/10) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 40% (4/6) | 58% (30/22) |
| Games Win/Loss | 48% (45/48) | 55% (267/222) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 25% (1/3) | 60% (12/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| Aces Total | 18 | 128 |
| DFs per game | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| DFs Total | 10 | 57 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:52:49 | 1:31:29 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 112.75 | 187.09 |
| 1st Serve % | 52% (154/295) | 71% (1011/1427) |
| 1st Serve W% | 70% (108/154) | 69% (702/1011) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 48% (67/141) | 49% (202/416) |
| BPs Won% Total | 39% (11/28) | 39% (57/145) |
| Return Pts W% | 37% (110/294) | 39% (555/1410) |
| Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/2) | 40% (4/6) |
| Futures W/L | 50% (1/1) | 67% (8/4) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (1/3) | 55% (12/22) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| Deciding Set W% | 0% (0/1) | 25% (2/8) |
| 1st set W, W | 50% (2/1) | 85% (13/11) |
| 1st set W, L | 50% (2/1) | 15% (13/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (2/0) | 11% (9/1) |
Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Gastao Elias
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
57%
(
61 of
107)
1st Serve %
52%
(
66 of
128)
3
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
44 of
66)
54%
(
25 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
27 of
62)
19%
(
3 of
16)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
40%
(
43 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
57 of
128)
121
Total Points Won
114
|
7-6(4) 5-7 4-3 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Gianmarco Ferrari
55%
(
24 of
44)
1st Serve %
57%
(
27 of
47)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
5
92%
(
22 of
24)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
16 of
27)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
9 of
20)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
22 of
47)
55
Total Points Won
36
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Rigele Te
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
55%
(
49 of
89)
1st Serve %
56%
(
40 of
71)
9
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
24 of
40)
63%
(
25 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
36%
(
32 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
87
Total Points Won
73
|
4-6 6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Chun Hsin Tseng
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
61%
(
31 of
51)
1st Serve %
46%
(
24 of
52)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
18 of
24)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
13 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
52)
60
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Chak Lam Coleman Wong
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
53%
(
46 of
86)
1st Serve %
62%
(
61 of
99)
10
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
1
83%
(
38 of
46)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
44 of
61)
60%
(
24 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
24 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
37 of
99)
99
Total Points Won
86
|
6-2 6-7(5) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Andres Martin
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65%
(
50 of
77)
1st Serve %
64%
(
58 of
90)
10
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
38 of
50)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
35 of
58)
44%
(
12 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
35%
(
27 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
32 of
90)
82
Total Points Won
85
|
7-6(5) 1-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Mathys Erhard
61%
(
48 of
79)
1st Serve %
64%
(
58 of
90)
1
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
1
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
35 of
58)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
19 of
32)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
33%
(
26 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
36 of
90)
89
Total Points Won
80
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Yusuke Takahashi
52%
(
42 of
81)
1st Serve %
73%
(
67 of
92)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
39 of
67)
59%
(
23 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
36%
(
29 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
39 of
92)
91
Total Points Won
82
|
7-5 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Blake Ellis
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
50%
(
52 of
104)
1st Serve %
54%
(
58 of
108)
6
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
75%
(
39 of
52)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
42 of
58)
56%
(
29 of
52)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
20 of
50)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
35%
(
36 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
46 of
108)
114
Total Points Won
98
|
6-2 6-7(6) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
47%
(
23 of
49)
1st Serve %
59%
(
41 of
70)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
2
83%
(
19 of
23)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
31%
(
5 of
16)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
35%
(
17 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
35 of
70)
67
Total Points Won
52
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Keegan Smith Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 |
Stats
Benjamin Lock
Player
Keegan Smith
72%
(
39 of
54)
1st Serve %
78%
(
64 of
82)
10
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
4
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
38 of
64)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
22%
(
12 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
37 of
82)
79
Total Points Won
57
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Antoine Bellier
Player
Keegan Smith
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve %
75%
(
33 of
44)
10
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
83%
(
30 of
36)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
6 of
11)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
23%
(
12 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
14 of
44)
55
Total Points Won
42
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Keegan Smith
Player
Elmar Ejupovic
75%
(
42 of
56)
1st Serve %
62%
(
37 of
60)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
88%
(
37 of
42)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
29%
(
4 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
27 of
60)
68
Total Points Won
48
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Keegan Smith
Player
Santiago Padilla Cote
80%
(
39 of
49)
1st Serve %
69%
(
34 of
49)
8
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
82%
(
32 of
39)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
63
Total Points Won
35
|
7-5 6-0 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Roberto Cid Subervi
Player
Keegan Smith
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
66%
(
37 of
56)
1
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
25 of
37)
39%
(
7 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
21 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
22 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
55
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Player
Keegan Smith
79%
(
85 of
107)
1st Serve %
67%
(
66 of
98)
2
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
5
62%
(
53 of
85)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
45 of
66)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
11 of
32)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
40%
(
43 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
42 of
98)
106
Total Points Won
99
|
6-4 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Keegan Smith
Player
Michael Geerts
71%
(
54 of
76)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
7
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
80%
(
43 of
54)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
78%
(
18 of
23)
11%
(
1 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
24 of
73)
79
Total Points Won
70
|
6-4 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Hady Habib
Player
Keegan Smith
50%
(
54 of
107)
1st Serve %
69%
(
66 of
96)
5
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
3
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
47 of
66)
55%
(
29 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
42%
(
45 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
34 of
96)
96
Total Points Won
107
|
6-4 0-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Keegan Smith
Player
Lorenzo Giustino
76%
(
85 of
112)
1st Serve %
63%
(
57 of
91)
7
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
7
67%
(
57 of
85)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
40 of
57)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
39%
(
44 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
38 of
91)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
6-2 5-7 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Keegan Smith
Player
Leopold Zima
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve %
67%
(
30 of
45)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
56%
(
5 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
10 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
26 of
45)
56
Total Points Won
29
|
6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
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